FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Combining sensitivity and uncertainty analysis to evaluate the impact of management measures with ISIS-Fish: marine protected areas for the Bay of Biscay anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) fishery BT AF LEHUTA, Sigrid MAHEVAS, Stephanie PETITGAS, Pierre PELLETIER, Dominique AS 1:1;2:1;3:1;4:2; FF 1:PDG-DOP-DCN-EMH;2:PDG-DOP-DCN-EMH;3:PDG-DOP-DCN-EMH;4:PDG-DOP-DCB-STH; C1 IFREMER, F-44311 Nantes 03, France. IFREMER, Technopole Brest Iroise, F-29280 Plouzane, France. C2 IFREMER, FRANCE IFREMER, FRANCE SI NANTES BREST SE PDG-DOP-DCN-EMH PDG-DOP-DCB-STH IN WOS Ifremer jusqu'en 2018 IF 1.808 TC 30 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00011/12234/9281.pdf LA English DT Article CR EVHOE 2000 EVHOE 2001 EVHOE 2002 EVHOE 2003 EVHOE 2004 EVHOE 2005 JUVAGA/03 JUVAGA/05 PEL 2000 PEL 2001 PELGAS 2002 PELGAS 2003 PELGAS 2004 PELGAS 2005 BO Thalassa DE ;Bay of Biscay anchovy;marine protected area;sensitivity analysis;simulation;uncertainty analysis AB Spatio-seasonal explicit simulation models can predict the impact of spatial management measures on marine fish populations and fishing activities. As fisheries are complex systems, fisheries simulation models are often complex, with many uncertain parameters. Here, the methodology is provided to deliver fishery diagnostics within an uncertainty context using a complex simulation tool. A sensitivity analysis of the model is performed on model outputs using partial least-squares to identify the most sensitive parameters. The impact of several management measures is then simulated using a statistical simulation design taking into account the uncertainty of the selected sensitive parameters. This approach was applied to the Bay of Biscay anchovy stock using the ISIS-Fish (Integration of Spatial Information for Simulation of Fisheries) model to assess the impact of imposing marine protected areas (MPAs) conditionally on parameter uncertainty. The diagnostic appeared to be highly sensitive to the mortality of larvae and juveniles, growth, and reproduction. The uncertainty of the values of these parameters did not permit any of the simulated MPA designs to be proposed. However, according to anchovy catch and biomass, the simulations allowed the low impact of closure duration to be shown and underscored the utility of protecting such key processes as spawning. PY 2010 PD JUN SO Ices Journal Of Marine Science SN 1054-3139 PU Oxford Univ Press VL 67 IS 5 UT 000279870500021 BP 1063 EP 1075 DI 10.1093/icesjms/fsq002 ID 12234 ER EF