FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Informing Marine Spatial Planning (MSP) with numerical modelling: A case-study on shellfish aquaculture in Malpeque Bay (Eastern Canada) BT AF FILGUEIRA, Ramon GUYONDET, Thomas BACHER, Cedric COMEAU, Luc A. AS 1:1;2:1;3:2;4:1; FF 1:;2:;3:PDG-ODE-DYNECO;4:; C1 Gulf Fisheries Ctr, Sci Branch, Dept Fisheries & Oceans, Moncton, NB E1C 9B6, Canada. French Inst Sea Res IFREMER, F-29280 Plouzane, France. C2 GULF FISHERIES CTR, CANADA IFREMER, FRANCE SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-DYNECO IN WOS Ifremer jusqu'en 2018 copubli-int-hors-europe IF 3.099 TC 24 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00279/39050/37622.pdf LA English DT Article DE ;Physical-biogeochemical model;Marine spatial planning;Aquaculture;Carrying capacity;Ecosystem-based management AB A moratorium on further bivalve leasing was established in 1999–2000 in Prince Edward Island (Canada). Recently, a marine spatial planning process was initiated explore potential mussel culture expansion in Malpeque Bay. This study focuses on the effects of a projected expansion scenario on productivity of existing leases and available suspended food resources. The aim is to provide a robust scientific assessment using available datasets and three modelling approaches ranging in complexity: (1) a connectivity analysis among culture areas; (2) a scenario analysis of organic seston dynamics based on a simplified biogeochemical model; and (3) a scenario analysis of phytoplankton dynamics based on an ecosystem model. These complementary approaches suggest (1) new leases can affect existing culture both through direct connectivity and through bay-scale effects driven by the overall increase in mussel biomass, and (2) a net reduction of phytoplankton within the bounds of its natural variation in the area. PY 2015 PD NOV SO Marine Pollution Bulletin SN 0025-326X PU Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd VL 100 IS 1 UT 000366771400035 BP 200 EP 216 DI 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2015.08.048 ID 39050 ER EF