FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Modelling marine protected areas: insights and hurdles BT AF FULTON, Elizabeth A. BAX, Nicholas J. BUSTAMANTE, Rodrigo H. DAMBACHER, Jeffrey M. DICHMONT, Catherine DUNSTAN, Piers K. HAYES, Keith R. HOBDAY, Alistair J. PITCHER, Roland PLAGANYI, Eva E. PUNT, Andre E. SAVINA-ROLLAND, Marie SMITH, Anthony D. M. SMITH, David C. AS 1:1,3;2:1,4;3:5;4:2,3;5:5;6:1;7:2;8:1,3;9:5;10:5;11:1,6;12:7;13:1,3;14:1,3; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:;6:;7:;8:;9:;10:;11:;12:PDG-RBE-HMMN-RHBL;13:;14:; C1 CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia. CSIRO Digital Prod, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia. Univ Tasmania, Ctr Marine Socioecol, Battery Point, Tas 7004, Australia. Univ Tasmania, Inst Marine & Antarctic Studies, Battery Point, Tas 7004, Australia. CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia. Univ Washington, Sch Aquat & Fishery Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA. Ctr Manche Mer Nord, Lab Ressources Halieut, F-62321 Boulogne Sur Mer, France. C2 CSIRO, AUSTRALIA CSIRO, AUSTRALIA UNIV TASMANIA, AUSTRALIA UNIV TASMANIA, AUSTRALIA CSIRO, AUSTRALIA UNIV WASHINGTON, USA IFREMER, FRANCE SI BOULOGNE SE PDG-RBE-HMMN-RHBL IN WOS Ifremer jusqu'en 2018 copubli-int-hors-europe IF 5.847 TC 71 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00287/39865/38413.pdf LA English DT Article DE ;spatial management;modelling;MPA;counterfactual AB Models provide useful insights into conservation and resource management issues and solutions. Their use to date has highlighted conditions under which no-take marine protected areas (MPAs) may help us to achieve the goals of ecosystem-based management by reducing pressures, and where they might fail to achieve desired goals. For example, static reserve designs are unlikely to achieve desired objectives when applied to mobile species or when compromised by climate-related ecosystem restructuring and range shifts. Modelling tools allow planners to explore a range of options, such as basing MPAs on the presence of dynamic oceanic features, and to evaluate the potential future impacts of alternative interventions compared with 'no-action' counterfactuals, under a range of environmental and development scenarios. The modelling environment allows the analyst to test if indicators and management strategies are robust to uncertainties in how the ecosystem (and the broader human-ecosystem combination) operates, including the direct and indirect ecological effects of protection. Moreover, modelling results can be presented at multiple spatial and temporal scales, and relative to ecological, economic and social objectives. This helps to reveal potential 'surprises', such as regime shifts, trophic cascades and bottlenecks in human responses. Using illustrative examples, this paper briefly covers the history of the use of simulation models for evaluating MPA options, and discusses their utility and limitations for informing protected area management in the marine realm. PY 2015 PD NOV SO Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society B-biological Sciences SN 0962-8436 PU Royal Soc VL 370 IS 1681 UT 000362720200010 BP 1 EP 17 DI 10.1098/rstb.2014.0278 ID 39865 ER EF