FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Testing for the ‘predictability’ of dynamically triggered earthquakes in The Geysers geothermal field BT AF AIKEN, Chastity MENG, Xiaofeng HARDEBECK, Jeanne AS 1:1,2;2:3,4,5;3:6; FF 1:PDG-REM-GM-LAD;2:;3:; C1 Univ Texas Austin, Austin, TX 78712 USA. IFREMER, Marine Geosci LAD, Plouzane, France. Univ Washington, Dept Earth & Space Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA. Univ Washington, eSci Inst, Seattle, WA 98195 USA. Univ Southern Calif, Southern Calif Earthquake Ctr, Los Angeles, CA USA. US Geol Survey, 345 Middlefield Rd, Menlo Pk, CA 94025 USA. C2 UNIV TEXAS AUSTIN, USA IFREMER, FRANCE UNIV WASHINGTON, USA UNIV WASHINGTON, USA UNIV SOUTHERN CALIF, USA US GEOL SURVEY, USA SI BREST SE PDG-REM-GM-LAD IN WOS Ifremer jusqu'en 2018 copubli-int-hors-europe IF 4.637 TC 18 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00425/53626/54547.pdf LA English DT Article DE ;dynamic triggering;template matching;earthquake;stress changes;The Geysers AB The Geysers geothermal field is well known for being susceptible to dynamic triggering of earthquakes by large distant earthquakes, owing to the introduction of fluids for energy production. Yet, it is unknown if dynamic triggering of earthquakes is ‘predictable’ or whether dynamic triggering could lead to a potential hazard for energy production. In this paper, our goal is to investigate the characteristics of triggering and the physical conditions that promote triggering to determine whether or not triggering is in anyway foreseeable. We find that, at present, triggering in The Geysers is not easily ‘predictable’ in terms of when and where based on observable physical conditions. However, triggered earthquake magnitude positively correlates with peak imparted dynamic stress, and larger dynamic stresses tend to trigger sequences similar to mainshock–aftershock sequences. Thus, we may be able to ‘predict’ what size earthquakes to expect at The Geysers following a large distant earthquake. PY 2018 PD MAR SO Earth And Planetary Science Letters SN 0012-821X PU Elsevier Science Bv VL 486 UT 000427102700013 BP 129 EP 140 DI 10.1016/j.epsl.2018.01.015 ID 53626 ER EF