FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Chaotic Variability of Ocean: Heat Content Climate-Relevant Features and Observational Implications BT AF PENDUFF, Thierry SERAZIN, Guillaume LEROUX, Stephanie CLOSE, Sally MOLINES, Jean-Marc BARNIER, Bernard BESSIERES, Laurent TERRAY, Laurent MAZE, Guillaume AS 1:1;2:2;3:3;4:4;5:4;6:4;7:5;8:5;9:6; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:;6:;7:;8:;9:PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH; C1 CNRS, IGE MEOM, UGA CS, F-40700 Grenoble, France. OMP, Lab Etud Geophys & Oceanog Spatiales, Toulouse, France. Ocean Next, Grenoble, France. Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP,Inst Geosci Environm, Grenoble, France. CNRS, CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France. Univ Brest, IFREMER, CNRS, IRD,Lab Oceanog Phys & Spatiale,IUEM, Plouzane, France. C2 CNRS, FRANCE OBSERV MIDI PYRENEES, FRANCE OCEAN NEXT, FRANCE UNIV GRENOBLE ALPES, FRANCE CNRS, FRANCE IFREMER, FRANCE SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH UM LOPS IN WOS Ifremer jusqu'en 2018 DOAJ copubli-france copubli-univ-france IF 3.913 TC 28 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00448/55959/57440.pdf LA English DT Article AB Global ocean models that admit mesoscale turbulence spontaneously generate a substantial interannual-to-multidecadal chaotic intrinsic variability in the absence of atmospheric forcing variability at these timescales. is phenomenon is substantially weaker in non-turbulent ocean models but provides a marked stochastic avor to the low-frequency variability in eddying ocean models, which are being cou- pled to the atmosphere for next-generation climate projections. In order to disentangle the atmospherically forced and intrinsic ocean variabilities, the OCCIPUT (OceaniC Chaos – ImPacts, strUcture, predicTability) project performed a long (1960–2015), large ensemble (50 members) of global ocean/sea ice 1/4° simulations driven by the same atmospheric reanalysis, but with perturbed initial conditions. Subsequent ensem- ble statistics show that the ocean variability can be seen as a broadband “noise,” with characteristic scales reaching multiple decades and basin sizes, locally modulated by the atmospheric variability. In several mid-latitude regions, chaotic processes have more impact than atmospheric variability on both the low-frequency variability and the long-term trends of regional ocean heat content. Consequently, certain climate- relevant oceanic signals cannot be unambiguously attributed to atmospheric variabil- ity, raising new issues for the detection, attribution, and interpretation of oceanic heat variability and trends in the presence of mesoscale turbulence. PY 2018 PD JUL SO Oceanography SN 1042-8275 PU Oceanography Soc VL 31 IS 2 UT 000452824700013 BP 63 EP 71 DI 10.5670/oceanog.2018.210 ID 55959 ER EF