FN Archimer Export Format
PT J
TI A participatory scenario method to explore the future of marine social-ecological systems
BT 
AF Planque, Benjamin
   Mullon, Christian
   Arneberg, Per
   Eide, Arne
   FROMENTIN, Jean-Marc
   Heymans, Johanna Jacomina
   Hoel, Alf Håkon
   Niiranen, Susa
   Ottersen, Geir
   Sandø, Anne Britt
   Sommerkorn, Martin
   Thébaud, Olivier
   Thorvik, Thorbjørn
AS 1:1;2:2;3:1;4:3;5:4;6:5,6;7:1;8:7;9:8;10:8,9;11:10;12:11;13:12;
FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:PDG-RBE-MARBEC;6:;7:;8:;9:;10:;11:;12:PDG-RBE-EM;13:;
C1 Institute of Marine Research; Tromsø, Norway
   Institut de Recherche pour le Développement; UMR Marbec (IRD, Ifremer, Université Montpellier, CNRS); Sète ,France
   Norwegian college of Fisheries Science; The Arctic University of Norway; Tromsø ,Norway
   Ifremer; UMR Marbec (IRD, Ifremer, Université Montpellier, CNRS); Sète Cedex ,France
   European Marine Board; Oostende ,Belgium
   SAMS; Scottish Marine Institute; Oban ,UK
   Stockholm Resilience Centre; Stockholm University; Stockholm ,Sweden
   Institute of Marine Research; Bergen ,Norway
   Bjerknes Centre; Institute of Marine Research; Bergen ,Norway
   World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) Arctic Programme; Oslo ,Norway
   Ifremer; Univ Brest; CNRS; UMR 6308; AMURE; Unité d'Economie Maritime; IUEM; Plouzane, France
   Directorate of Fisheries; Bergen, Norway
C2 IMR (BERGEN), NORWAY
   IRD, FRANCE
   UNIV TROMSO, NORWAY
   IFREMER, FRANCE
   EUROPEAN MARINE BOARD, BELGIUM
   SAMS, UK
   UNIV STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN
   IMR (BERGEN), NORWAY
   IMR (BERGEN), NORWAY
   WWF, NORWAY
   IFREMER, FRANCE
   DIRECT FISHERIES, NORWAY
SI SETE
   BREST
SE PDG-RBE-MARBEC
   PDG-RBE-EM
UM AMURE
   MARBEC
IN WOS Ifremer UMR
   copubli-france
   copubli-p187
   copubli-europe
IF 6.785
TC 19
UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00485/59621/62647.pdf
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00485/59621/62648.pdf
LA English
DT Article
DE ;Barents Sea;future studies;multiple perspectives;participatory fisheries management;storylines;uncertainty
AB Anticipating future changes in marine social‐ecological systems (MSES) several decades into the future is essential in the context of accelerating global change. This is challenging in situations where actors do not share common understandings, practices, or visions about the future. We introduce a dedicated scenario method for the development of MSES scenarios in a participatory context. The objective is to allow different actors to jointly develop scenarios which contain their multiple visions of the future. The method starts from four perspectives: “fisheries management,” “ecosystem,” “ocean climate,” and “global context and governance” for which current status and recent trends are summarized. Contrasted scenarios about possible futures are elaborated for each of the four single perspectives before being integrated into multiple‐perspective scenarios. Selected scenarios are then developed into storylines. Focusing on individual perspectives until near the end allows actors with diverse cultures, interests and horizons to confront their own notions of the future. We illustrate the method with the exploration of the futures of the Barents Sea MSES by 2050. We emphasize the following lessons learned: first, many actors are not familiar with scenario building and attention must be paid to explaining the purpose, methodology, and benefits of scenarios exercises. Second, although the Barents Sea MSES is relatively well understood, uncertainties about its future are significant. Third, it is important to focus on unlikely events. Fourth, all perspectives should be treated equally. Fifth, as MSES are continuously changing, we can only be prepared for future changes if we collectively keep preparing. 
PY 2019
PD MAY
SO Fish And Fisheries
SN 1467-2960
PU Wiley
VL 20
IS 3
UT 000477638500003
BP 434
EP 451
DI 10.1111/faf.12356
ID 59621
ER

EF