FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Functional group based marine ecosystem assessment for the Bay of Biscay via elasticity analysis BT AF Hosack, Geoffrey R. Trenkel, Verena AS 1:1;2:2; FF 1:;2:PDG-RBE-EMH; C1 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Data61, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia Ifremer, Nantes, France C2 CSIRO, AUSTRALIA IFREMER, FRANCE SI NANTES SE PDG-RBE-EMH IN WOS Ifremer UPR DOAJ copubli-int-hors-europe IF 2.379 TC 2 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66311.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66312.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66313.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66314.gz https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66315.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66316.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66317.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66318.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66320.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66321.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66322.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00510/62119/66323.pdf LA English DT Article CR EVHOE 2000 EVHOE 2001 EVHOE 2002 EVHOE 2003 EVHOE 2004 EVHOE 2005 EVHOE 2006 EVHOE 2007 EVHOE 2008 EVHOE 2009 EVHOE 2010 EVHOE 2011 EVHOE 2012 EVHOE 2013 EVHOE 2014 EVHOE 2015 EVHOE EVALUATION HALIEUTIQUE OUEST DE L'EUROPE BO Thalassa DE ;Compensatory dynamics;Cumulative impacts;Elasticity;Fox model;Gompertz model;Predictive cross-validation AB The transitory and long-term elasticities of the Bay of Biscay ecosystem to densityindependent and density-dependent influences were estimated within a state space model that accounted for both process and observation uncertainties. A functional group based model for the Bay of Biscay fish ecosystem was fit to time series obtained from scientific survey and commercial catch and effort data. The observation model parameters correspond to the unknown catchabilities and observation error variances that vary across the commercial fisheries and fishery-independent scientific surveys. The process model used a Gompertz form of density dependence, which is commonly used for the analysis of multivariate ecological time series, with unknown time-varying fishing mortalities. Elasticity analysis showed that the process model parameters are directly interpretable in terms of one-year look-ahead prediction elasticities, which measure the proportional response of a functional group in the next year given a proportional change to a variable or parameter in the current year. The density dependent parameters were also shown to define the elasticities of the long term means or quantiles of the functional groups to changes in fishing pressure. Evidence for the importance of indirect effects, mediated by density dependence, in determining the ecosystem response of the Bay of Biscay to changes in fishing pressure is presented. The state space model performed favourably in an assessment of model adequacy that compared observations of catch per unit effort against cross-validation predictive densities blocked by year. PY 2019 PD AUG SO Peerj SN 2167-8359 PU PeerJ VL 7 UT 000480310600003 DI 10.7717/peerj.7422 ID 62119 ER EF