FN Archimer Export Format
PT J
TI Contrasting effects of rising temperatures on trophic interactions in marine ecosystems
BT 
AF Durant, Joël M.
   Molinero, Juan-Carlos
   Ottersen, Geir
   Reygondeau, Gabriel
   Stige, Leif Christian
   Langangen, Øystein
AS 1:1;2:2;3:1,3;4:4;5:1;6:1;
FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:;6:;
C1 Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis (CEES), Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, PO Box 1066, Blindern, N-0316, Oslo, Norway
   Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), UMR248 MARBEC, IRD/CNRS/IFREMER/UM, Sète Cedex, France
   Institute of Marine Research, P.O. Box 1870, Nordnes, N-5817, Bergen, Norway
   Nippon Foundation-Nereus Program, Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia, Aquatic Ecosystems Research Lab, 2202 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada
C2 UNIV OSLO, NORWAY
   IRD, FRANCE
   IMR (BERGEN), NORWAY
   UNIV BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA
UM MARBEC
IN WOS Cotutelle UMR
   DOAJ
   copubli-europe
   copubli-int-hors-europe
IF 3.998
TC 39
UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00588/70058/68001.pdf
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00588/70058/68002.pdf
LA English
DT Article
AB In high-latitude marine environments, primary producers and their consumers show seasonal peaks of abundance in response to annual light cycle, water column stability and nutrient availability. Predatory species have adapted to this pattern by synchronising life-history events such as reproduction with prey availability. However, changing temperatures may pose unprecedented challenges by decoupling the predator-prey interactions. Here we build a predator-prey model accounting for the full life-cycle of fish and zooplankton including their phenology. The model assumes that fish production is bottom-up controlled by zooplankton prey abundance and match or mismatch between predator and prey phenology, and is parameterised based on empirical findings of how climate influences phenology and prey abundance. With this model, we project possible climate-warming effects on match-mismatch dynamics in Arcto-boreal and temperate biomes. We find a strong dependence on synchrony with zooplankton prey in the Arcto-boreal fish population, pointing towards a possible pronounced population decline with warming because of frequent desynchronization with its zooplankton prey. In contrast, the temperate fish population appears better able to track changes in prey timing and hence avoid strong population decline. These results underline that climate change may enhance the risks of predator-prey seasonal asynchrony and fish population declines at higher latitudes. 
PY 2019
PD OCT
SO Scientific Reports
SN 2045-2322
PU Springer Science and Business Media LLC
VL 9
IS 1
UT 000491859500003
DI 10.1038/s41598-019-51607-w
ID 70058
ER

EF