FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI A recent decline in North Atlantic subtropical mode water formation BT AF Stevens, Samuel W. Johnson, Rodney J. Maze, Guillaume Bates, Nicholas R. AS 1:1,2;2:2;3:3;4:2,4; FF 1:;2:;3:PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH;4:; C1 Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences Department, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences, St. George’s, Bermuda Ifremer, University of Brest, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale (LOPS), IFREMER, Brest, France Ocean and Earth Science Department, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK C2 UNIV BRITISH COLUMBIA, CANADA BIOS, BERMUDA IFREMER, FRANCE UNIV SOUTHAMPTON, UK SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH UM LOPS IN WOS Ifremer UMR copubli-europe copubli-int-hors-europe IF 14.47 TC 20 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00618/72973/72146.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00618/72973/77554.pdf LA English DT Article AB As a manifestation of mixing dynamics in the upper ocean, interannual and decadal variability of subtropical mode water (STMW) properties in the North Atlantic Ocean provides a valuable insight into ocean–atmosphere interaction in a changing climate. Here, we use hydrographic data from the Bermuda Atlantic Time-Series Study and Hydrostation S sites near Bermuda, as well as various ocean reanalysis products, to evaluate the modern variability of STMW properties. Our study finds an 86–93% loss of STMW thickness at these sites between 2010 and 2018 and a comparable loss throughout the western subtropical gyre, culminating in the weakest STMW pentad on record. We correlate this decline with a reduction in the annual outcropping volume and northward excursions of the formation region, suggesting a gyre-wide signal of weakening STMW generation. The outcropping volume of STMW is anti-correlated with surface ocean heat content, foreshadowing future STMW loss in the face of continued warming. PY 2020 PD APR SO Nature Climate Change SN 1758-678X PU Springer Science and Business Media LLC VL 10 IS 4 UT 000521527600003 DI 10.1038/s41558-020-0722-3 ID 72973 ER EF