FN Archimer Export Format
PT J
TI Suitable habitats of fish species in the Barents Sea
BT 
AF Husson, Berengere
   Certain, Gregoire
   Filin, Anatoly
   Planque, Benjamin
AS 1:1;2:2;3:3;4:1;
FF 1:;2:PDG-RBE-MARBEC-LHM;3:;4:;
C1 Havforskningsinstituttet Avdeling Tromso, Okosystemprocessor Tromso NO, Norway
   MARBEC, Université de Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRD Sète FR, France
   Russian Federal Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (“PINRO” named after N.M.Knipovich)Polar Branch of the Federal State Budget Scientific Institution Murmansk Murmansk Oblast, Russia
C2 INST MARINE RES, NORWAY
   IFREMER, FRANCE
   PINRO, RUSSIA
SI SETE
SE PDG-RBE-MARBEC-LHM
UM MARBEC
IN WOS Ifremer UMR
   copubli-europe
   copubli-int-hors-europe
IF 2.786
TC 11
UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00641/75352/76099.pdf
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00641/75352/76100.docx
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00641/75352/76101.pdf
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00641/75352/76102.pdf
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00641/75352/93178.pdf
LA English
DT Article
DE ;climate change;environmental niche;generalized additive models;habitat suitability models;limiting factors;quantile regression;species distribution
AB Many marine species exhibit poleward migrations following climate change. The Barents Sea, a doorstep to the fast‐warming Arctic, is experiencing large scale changes in its environment and its communities. Tracking and anticipating changes for management and conservation purposes at the scale of the ecosystem necessitate quantitative knowledge on individual species distribution drivers. This paper aims at identifying the factors controlling demersal habitats in the Barents Sea, investigating for which species we can predict current and future habitats and inferring those most likely to respond to climate change. We used non‐linear quantile regressions (QGAM) to model the upper quantile of the biomass response of 33 fish species to 10 environmental gradients and revealed three environmental niche typologies. Four main predictors seem to be limiting species habitat: bottom and surface temperature, salinity and depth. We highlighted three cases of present and future habitat predictability:(1) habitats of widespread species are not likely to be limited by the existing conditions within the Barents Sea. (2) habitats limited by a single factor are predictable and could shift if impacted by climate change. If the factor is depth, the habitat may stagnate or shrink if the environment becomes unsuitable. (3) habitats limited by several factors are also predictable but need to be predicted from QGAM applied on projected environmental maps. These modelled suitable habitats can serve as input to species distribution forecasts and end‐to‐end models, and inform fisheries and conservation management. 
PY 2020
PD NOV
SO Fisheries Oceanography
SN 1054-6006
PU Wiley
VL 29
IS 6
UT 000562423700001
BP 526
EP 540
DI 10.1111/fog.12493
ID 75352
ER

EF