FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Pending recovery in the strength of the meridional overturning circulation at 26° N BT AF Moat, Ben I. Smeed, David A. Frajka-Williams, Eleanor Desbruyères, Damien Beaulieu, Claudie Johns, William E. Rayner, Darren Sanchez-Franks, Alejandra Baringer, Molly O. Volkov, Denis Jackson, Laura C. Bryden, Harry L. AS 1:1;2:1;3:1;4:2;5:3;6:4;7:1;8:1;9:5;10:5,6;11:7;12:8; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH;5:;6:;7:;8:;9:;10:;11:;12:; C1 National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK Ifremer, University of Brest, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d'Océanographie Physique et Spatiale, IUEM, Ifremer centre de Bretagne, 29280 Plouzané, France Ocean Sciences Department, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, NOAA, Miami, FL, USA Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA Met Office, Exeter, UK School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton Waterfront Campus, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK C2 NOC, UK IFREMER, FRANCE UNIV CALIF SANTA CRUZ, USA UNIV MIAMI, USA NOAA, USA UNIV MIAMI, USA MET OFFICE, UK UNIV SOUTHAMPTON, UK SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH UM LOPS IN WOS Ifremer UMR DOAJ copubli-europe copubli-int-hors-europe IF 3.416 TC 58 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00643/75537/76443.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00643/75537/76444.pdf LA English DT Article AB The strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) at 26∘ N has now been continuously measured by the RAPID array over the period April 2004–September 2018. This record provides unique insight into the variability of the large-scale ocean circulation, previously only measured by sporadic snapshots of basin-wide transport from hydrographic sections. The continuous measurements have unveiled striking variability on timescales of days to a decade, driven largely by wind forcing, contrasting with previous expectations about a slowly varying buoyancy-forced large-scale ocean circulation. However, these measurements were primarily observed during a warm state of the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) which has been steadily declining since a peak in 2008–2010. In 2013–2015, a period of strong buoyancy forcing by the atmosphere drove intense water-mass transformation in the subpolar North Atlantic and provides a unique opportunity to investigate the response of the large-scale ocean circulation to buoyancy forcing. Modelling studies suggest that the AMOC in the subtropics responds to such events with an increase in overturning transport, after a lag of 3–9 years. At 45∘ N, observations suggest that the AMOC may already be increasing. Examining 26∘ N, we find that the AMOC is no longer weakening, though the recent transport is not above the long-term mean. Extending the record backwards in time at 26∘ N with ocean reanalysis from GloSea5, the transport fluctuations at 26∘ N are consistent with a 0- to 2-year lag from those at 45∘ N, albeit with lower magnitude. Given the short span of time and anticipated delays in the signal from the subpolar to subtropical gyres, it is not yet possible to determine whether the subtropical AMOC strength is recovering nor how the AMOC at 26∘ N responds to intense buoyancy forcing. PY 2020 PD JUN SO Ocean Science SN 1812-0784 PU Copernicus GmbH VL 16 IS 4 UT 000555403000001 BP 863 EP 874 DI 10.5194/os-16-863-2020 ID 75537 ER EF