FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI A shift in the ocean circulation has warmed the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean since 2016 BT AF Desbruyères, Damien Chafik, Léon Maze, Guillaume AS 1:1;2:2;3:1; FF 1:PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH;2:;3:PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH; C1 Ifremer, University of Brest, CNRS, IRD, Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale, Plouzané, France Department of Meteorology and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden C2 IFREMER, FRANCE UNIV STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-LOPS-OH UM LOPS IN WOS Ifremer UMR DOAJ copubli-europe IF 7.29 TC 34 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00682/79432/82033.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00682/79432/82034.pdf LA English DT Article AB The Subpolar North Atlantic is known for rapid reversals of decadal temperature trends, with ramifications encompassing the large-scale meridional overturning and gyre circulations, Arctic heat and mass balances, or extreme continental weather. Here, we combine datasets derived from sustained ocean observing systems (satellite and in situ), idealized observation-based modelling (advection-diffusion of a passive tracer), and a machine learning technique (ocean profile clustering) to document and explain the most-recent and ongoing cooling-to-warming transition of the Subpolar North Atlantic. Following a gradual cooling of the region that was persisting since 2006, a surface-intensified and large-scale warming sharply emerged in 2016 following an ocean circulation shift that enhanced the northeastward penetration of warm and saline waters from the western subtropics. The long ocean memory of the Subpolar North Atlantic implies that this advection-driven warming is likely to persist in the near-future with possible implications for the Atlantic multidecadal variability and its global impacts. PY 2021 PD FEB SO Communications Earth & Environment SN 2662-4435 PU Springer Science and Business Media LLC VL 2 IS 1 UT 000665757700001 DI 10.1038/s43247-021-00120-y ID 79432 ER EF