FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Impact of Tropical Cyclones on Inhabited Areas of the SWIO Basin at Present and Future Horizons. Part 2: Modeling Component of the Research Program RENOVRISK-CYCLONE BT AF Barthe, Christelle Bousquet, Olivier Bielli, Soline Tulet, Pierre Pianezze, Joris Claeys, Marine Tsai, Chia-Lun Thompson, Callum Bonnardot, François Chauvin, Fabrice Cattiaux, Julien Bouin, Marie-Noëlle Amelie, Vincent Barruol, Guilhem Calmer, Radiance Ciccione, Stéphane Cordier, Emmanuel Duong, Quoc-Phi Durand, Jonathan Fleischer-Dogley, Frauke Husson, Romain Lees, Edouard Malardel, Sylvie Marquestaut, Nicolas Mavume, Alberto Mékiès, Dominique Mouche, Alexis Ravoson, Navalona Manitriniana Razafindradina, Bruno Rindraharisaona, Elisa Roberts, Gregory Singh, Manvendra Zakariasy, Lova Zucule, Jonas AS 1:1,2;2:1,3;3:1;4:1,2;5:1;6:1,4;7:1,5;8:1;9:6;10:4;11:4;12:4,7;13:8;14:9;15:1,10;16:11;17:12;18:1;19:1;20:13;21:14;22:1;23:1;24:1,12;25:15;26:1;27:7;28:16;29:17;30:9,18;31:4,19;32:20;33:17;34:21; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:;6:;7:;8:;9:;10:;11:;12:;13:;14:;15:;16:;17:;18:;19:;20:;21:;22:;23:;24:;25:;26:;27:PDG-ODE-LOPS-SIAM;28:;29:;30:;31:;32:;33:;34:; C1 Laboratoire de l’Atmosphère et des Cyclones, Université de La Réunion, CNRS, Météo-France, 97400 Saint-Denis, France Laboratoire d’Aérologie, Université de Toulouse, UT3, CNRS, IRD, 31400 Toulouse, France Institute for Coastal Marine Research, Nelson Mandela University, Port-Elizabeth 6031, South Africa CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, 31057 Toulouse, France Center for Atmospheric REmote Sensing (CARE), Department of Astronomy and Atmospheric Sciences, Kyungpook National University, Daegu 41566, Korea Direction Interrégionale de Météo-France pour l’Océan Indien, 97400 Saint-Denis, France Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale, Université de Brest, CNRS, Ifremer, IRD, IUEM, 29280 Plouzané, France Seychelles Meteorological Authority, Mahé 670311, Seychelles Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Université de Paris, CNRS, 75005 Paris, France National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80304, USA Kelonia, Observatoire des Tortues Marines de La Réunion, 97436 Saint-Leu, France Observatoire des Sciences de l’Univers de La Réunion (UAR 3365 OSU-R), 97400 Saint-Denis, France Seychelles Islands Foundation, Mahé 670311, Seychelles Collecte Localisation Satellites (CLS), 29280 Brest, France Department of Physics, Faculty of Sciences, Eduardo Mondlane University, Maputo CP 257, Mozambique Institut et Observatoire de Géophysique d’Antisiranana, Université d’Antisiranana, Antananarivo 101, Madagascar Institut Supérieur de Technologie d’Antisiranana, Antsiranana 201, Madagascar Laboratoire GéoSciences Réunion (LGSR), Université de La Réunion, 97400 Saint-Denis, France Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093, USA Mauritius Oceanography Institute, Albion 95410, Mauritius Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INAM), Maputo CP 256, Mozambique C2 UNIV LA REUNION, FRANCE UNIV TOULOUSE, FRANCE UNIV NELSON MANDELA, SOUTH AFRICA CNRM, FRANCE UNIV KYUNGPOOK NATL, SOUTH KOREA METEO FRANCE, FRANCE IFREMER, FRANCE SEYCHELLES METEOR AUTHOR, SEYCHELLES IPGP, FRANCE NSIDC, USA KELONIA, FRANCE UNIV LA REUNION, FRANCE SEYCHELLES ISLANDS FND (SIF), SEYCHELLES CLS, FRANCE UNIV EDUARDO MONDLANE, MOZAMBIQUE UNIV ANTISIRANANA, MADAGASCAR INST SUP TECHN ANTISIRANANA, MADAGASCAR UNIV LA REUNION, FRANCE UNIV CALIF SAN DIEGO, USA MAURITIUS OCEANOG INST, MAURITIUS INAM, MOZAMBIQUE SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-LOPS-SIAM UM LOPS IN WOS Ifremer UMR DOAJ copubli-france copubli-univ-france copubli-int-hors-europe copubli-sud IF 3.11 TC 3 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00696/80848/84441.pdf LA English DT Article DE ;tropical cyclone;south-west Indian ocean;cloud-resolving model;ocean-wave-atmosphere coupling;climate modeling AB The ReNovRisk-Cyclone program aimed at developing an observation network in the south-west Indian ocean (SWIO) in close synergy with the implementation of numerical tools to model and analyze the impacts of tropical cyclones (TC) in the present and in a context of climate change. This paper addresses the modeling part of the program. First, a unique coupled system to simulate TCs in the SWIO is developed. The ocean–wave–atmosphere coupling is considered along with a coherent coupling between sea surface state, wind field, aerosol, microphysics, and radiation. This coupled system is illustrated through several simulations of TCs: the impact of air–sea flux parameterizations on the evolution of TC Fantala is examined, the full coupling developed during the program is illustrated on TC Idai, and the potential of novel observations like space-borne synthetic aperture radar and sea turtles to validate the atmosphere and ocean models is presented with TC Herold. Secondly, the evolution of cyclonic activity in the SWIO during the second half of the 21st century is assessed. It was addressed both using climate simulation and through the implementation of a pseudo global warming method in the high-resolution coupled modeling platform. Our results suggest that the Mascarene Archipelago should experience an increase of TC related hazards in the medium term. PY 2021 PD JUL SO Atmosphere SN 2073-4433 PU MDPI AG VL 12 IS 6 UT 000665610200001 DI 10.3390/atmos12060689 ID 80848 ER EF