FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Current Status of Forecasting Toxic Harmful Algae for the North-East Atlantic Shellfish Aquaculture Industry BT AF Fernandes-Salvador, Jose A Davidson, Keith SOURISSEAU, Marc Revilla, Marta Schmidt, Wiebke Clarke, Dave Miller, Peter I Arce, Paola Fernandez, Raul Maman, Luz Silva, Alexandra Whyte, Callum Mateo, Maria Neira, Patricia Mateus, Marcos Ruiz-Villarreal, Manuel FERRERA, Luis Silke, Joe AS 1:1;2:2;3:3;4:1;5:4,5;6:4;7:6;8:2;9:7;10:7;11:8;12:2;13:1;14:4;15:9;16:10;17:1;18:4; FF 1:;2:;3:PDG-ODE-DYNECO-PELAGOS;4:;5:;6:;7:;8:;9:;10:;11:;12:;13:;14:;15:;16:;17:;18:; C1 AZTI, Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance, Pasaia, Spain Scottish Association for Marine Science, Scottish Marine Institute, Oban, United Kingdom French Research Institute for Exploitation of the Sea, Ifremer DYNECO PELAGOS, Plouzané, France Marine Institute, Galway, Ireland Environment Agency, Chief Scientist’s Group, Bristol, United Kingdom Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth, United Kingdom Laboratorio de Control de Calidad de los Recursos Pesqueros, Agencia de Gestión Agraria y Pesquera de Andalucía, Consejería de Agricultura, Ganadería, Pesca y Desarrollo Sostenible, Junta de Andalucía, Cartaya, Spain Phytoplankton Laboratory, Division of Oceanography and Marine Environment, Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera, Lisbon, Portugal MARETEC – Marine, Environment and Technology Centre, LARSyS, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal Centro Oceanográfico de A Coruña, Instituto Español de Oceanografía (IEO,CSIC), A Coruña, Spain C2 AZTI, SPAIN SAMS SCOTLAND, UK IFREMER, FRANCE MARINE INST GALWAY, IRELAND ENVIRONMENT AGENCY, UK PML, UK CONSEJ AGRIC GANADERIA PESCA DESRALLO SOSTENIBLE, SPAIN IPMA, PORTUGAL UNIV LISBON, PORTUGAL IEO, SPAIN SI BREST SE PDG-ODE-DYNECO-PELAGOS IN WOS Ifremer UPR DOAJ copubli-europe IF 5.247 TC 32 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00698/80981/85013.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00698/80981/85014.docx LA English DT Article DE ;modeling;machine learning;toxins;phytoplankton;food production;short-term;regulation;early warning systems AB Across the European Atlantic Arc (Scotland, Ireland, England, France, Spain, and Portugal) the shellfish aquaculture industry is dominated by the production of mussels, followed by oysters and clams. A range of spatially and temporally variable harmful algal bloom species (HABs) impact the industry through their production of biotoxins that accumulate and concentrate in shellfish flesh, which negatively impact the health of consumers through consumption. Regulatory monitoring of harmful cells in the water column and toxin concentrations within shellfish flesh are currently the main means of warning of elevated toxin events in bivalves, with harvesting being suspended when toxicity is elevated above EU regulatory limits. However, while such an approach is generally successful in safeguarding human health, it does not provide the early warning that is needed to support business planning and harvesting by the aquaculture industry. To address this issue, a proliferation of web portals have been developed to make monitoring data widely accessible. These systems are now transitioning from “nowcasts” to operational Early Warning Systems (EWS) to better mitigate against HAB-generated harmful effects. To achieve this, EWS are incorporating a range of environmental data parameters and developing varied forecasting approaches. For example, EWS are increasingly utilizing satellite data and the results of oceanographic modeling to identify and predict the behavior of HABs. Modeling demonstrates that some HABs can be advected significant distances before impacting aquaculture sites. Traffic light indices are being developed to provide users with an easily interpreted assessment of HAB and biotoxin risk, and expert interpretation of these multiple data streams is being used to assess risk into the future. Proof-of-concept EWS are being developed to combine model information with in situ data, in some cases using machine learning-based approaches. This article: (1) reviews HAB and biotoxin issues relevant to shellfish aquaculture in the European Atlantic Arc (Scotland, Ireland, England, France, Spain, and Portugal; (2) evaluates the current status of HAB events and EWS in the region; and (3) evaluates the potential of further improving these EWS though multi-disciplinary approaches combining heterogeneous sources of information. PY 2021 PD JUL SO Frontiers In Marine Science SN 2296-7745 PU Frontiers Media VL 8 UT 000663425600001 DI 10.3389/fmars.2021.666583 ID 80981 ER EF