FN Archimer Export Format
PT J
TI Assessing the Performance and Application of Operational Lagrangian Transport HAB Forecasting Systems
BT 
AF Bedington, Michael
   García-García, Luz María
   Sourisseau, Marc
   Ruiz-Villarreal, Manuel
AS 1:1;2:2;3:3;4:2;
FF 1:;2:;3:PDG-ODE-DYNECO-PELAGOS;4:;
C1 Plymouth Marine Laboratory (PML), Plymouth, United Kingdom
   Instituto Español de Oceanografía (IEO, CSIC), Centro Oceanográfico da Coruña, A Coruña, Spain
   IFREMER, French Research Institute for Exploitation of the Sea, DYNECO PELAGOS, Plouzané, France
C2 PML, UK
   IEO, SPAIN
   IFREMER, FRANCE
SI BREST
SE PDG-ODE-DYNECO-PELAGOS
IN WOS Ifremer UPR
   DOAJ
   copubli-europe
IF 3.7
TC 5
UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00787/89873/95348.pdf
   https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00787/89873/95349.pdf
LA English
DT Article
DE ;harmful algal bloom (HAB);HAB forecast;HAB advection;lagrangian modelling;Dinophysis acuta;Karenia mikimotoi
AB Availability of operational regional hydrodynamic models and near real time Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) alerts from monitoring stations and remote sensing products have allowed the proliferation of short term advective HAB forecasts. However, their predictive ability in simulating HAB transport needs to be continuously evaluated in events of different HAB species to assess their applicability to different domains and the impacts of the choices made in model setup. Here we review the performance of three different modelling systems which were part of the PRIMROSE project against historical bloom events in different regions in the European Atlantic Area. The objectives are to understand their predictive ability and to demonstrate some aspects of Lagrangian model setup that are relevant to HAB early warning systems; in particular the use of advection-diffusion only models (without a biological component) and the effects of model configuration, especially model resolution. Hindcast and forecast simulations have been run in examples of high biomass blooms detected in satellite imagery; in the western English Channel, several events of potentially toxic species like Karenia mikimotoi and Prorocentrum cordatum (minimum) were simulated and in Western France a bloom of Mesodinium rubrum, prey of the toxic Dinophysis spp. Additionally, some simulations for studying the evolution of low biomass Dinophysis spp. blooms in Galicia-North Portugal were undertaken with models of different setup. Several metrics have been used to quantify the model performance and to compare the results of the different model configurations, showing that differences in hydrodynamical model configuration (initiation, resolution, forcing, and simulation domain) result in differences in the predicted transport of HABs. We find that advection only is a reasonable approximation but that it may do worse in an early (onset) phase than later on, and we find transport is generally increases with increasing resolution. Our results confirm that Lagrangian particle tracking tools can be integrated operationally in HAB early warning systems providing useful information on potential HAB evolution to users. 
PY 2022
PD JUN
SO Frontiers In Marine Science
SN 2296-7745
PU Frontiers Media SA
VL 9
UT 000838099200001
DI 10.3389/fmars.2022.749071
ID 89873
ER

EF