FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Benthic species of the Kerguelen Plateau show contrasting distribution shifts in response to environmental changes BT AF GUILLAUMOT, Charlene FABRI-RUIZ, Salome MARTIN, Alexis ELEAUME, Marc DANIS, Bruno FERAL, Jean-Pierre SAUCEDE, Thomas AS 1:1;2:2;3:3;4:4;5:1;6:5;7:2; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:;6:;7:; C1 Marine Biology Lab, CP160/15 Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium UMR CNRS 6282 Biogéosciences, Université de Bourgogne Franche-Comté (UBFC), Dijon, France Département Adaptation du Vivant, Museum National d’Histoire Naturelle, UMR BOREA 7208, Paris, France Département Origine et Évolution, Museum National d’Histoire Naturelle, UMR ISYEB 7205, Paris, France Aix Marseille Université, CNRS, UMR 7263 IMBE, Marseille, France C2 UNIV LIBRE BRUXELLES, BELGIUM UNIV BOURGOGNE FRANCHE COMTE, FRANCE MNHN, FRANCE MNHN, FRANCE UNIV AIX MARSEILLE, FRANCE IN DOAJ IF 2.415 TC 20 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00796/90773/96391.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00796/90773/96392.docx LA English DT Article DE ;conservation;echinoid;future predictions;historical changes;Kerguelen Plateau;species distribution modeling AB Marine life of the Southern Ocean has been facing environmental changes and the direct impact of human activities during the past decades. Benthic communities have particularly been affected by such changes although we only slowly understand the effect of environmental changes on species physiology, biogeography, and distribution. Species distribution models (SDM) can help explore species geographic responses to main environmental changes. In this work, we modeled the distribution of four echinoid species with contrasting ecological niches. Models developed for [2005-2012] were projected to different time periods, and the magnitude of distribution range shifts was assessed for recent-past conditions [1955-1974] and for the future, under scenario RCP 8.5 for [2050-2099]. Our results suggest that species distribution shifts are expected to be more important in a near future compared to the past. The geographic response of species may vary between poleward shift, latitudinal reduction, and local extinction. Species with broad ecological niches and not limited by biogeographic barriers would be the least affected by environmental changes, in contrast to endemic species, restricted to coastal areas, which are predicted to be more sensitive. PY 2018 PD JUL SO Ecology And Evolution SN 2045-7758 PU Wiley VL 8 IS 12 UT 000436799100020 BP 6210 EP 6225 DI 10.1002/ece3.4091 ID 90773 ER EF