FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Price Transmission between Energy and Fish Markets: Are Oil Rates Good Predictors of Tuna Prices? BT AF Guillotreau, Patrice Lantz, Frédéric Nadzon, Lesya Rault, Jonathan Maury, Olivier AS 1:1;2:2;3:3;4:1;5:1; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:; C1 MARBEC, University of Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRD, france IFP Énergies Nouvelles School, france LINDE GAS Benelux, belgium C2 IRD, FRANCE IFP ENERGIES NOUVELLES, FRANCE LINDE GAS BENELUX, BELGIUM SI SETE SE IRD PDG-RBE-MARBEC IF 2.9 TC 0 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00817/92848/99231.pdf LA English DT Article AB Because most food processes are fossil fuel–based, many food markets are more or less connected to the oil market. Fishing technology in the high seas being energy-intensive, higher oil prices should affect the fish markets. This research looks at price transmission between marine diesel oil and a global fishery commodity, frozen skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) through a time series analysis combining four different methods to look for possible structural breaks and regime shifts in the relationship (Bai-Perron, Lavielle, Gregory-Hansen, Markov-switching). Our results prove that the long-run equilibrium between both prices is weakening after the turn of the 2010s. Explaining the drivers of change is of great interest for short-term forecast but also to build long-term scenarios where both supply and demand variables are likely to affect tuna markets. PY 2023 PD JAN SO Marine Resource Economics SN 0738-1360 PU University of Chicago Press VL 38 IS 1 BP 29 EP 46 DI 10.1086/722490 ID 92848 ER EF