FN Archimer Export Format PT J TI Climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink BT AF MAYOT, N. LE QUERE, C. ROEDENBECK, C. BERNARDELLO, R. BOPP, L. DJEUTCHOUANG, L. M. GEHLEN, M. GREGOR, L. GRUBER, N. HAUCK, J. IIDA, Y. ILYINA, T. KEELING, R. F. LANDSCHUETZER, P. MANNING, A. C. PATARA, L. RESPLANDY, L. SCHWINGER, J. SEFERIAN, R. WATSON, A. J. WRIGHT, R. M. ZENG, J. AS 1:1;2:1;3:2;4:3;5:4;6:5,6;7:7;8:8;9:8;10:9;11:10;12:11;13:12;14:11,13;15:1;16:14;17:15;18:16,17;19:18;20:19;21:1;22:20; FF 1:;2:;3:;4:;5:;6:;7:;8:;9:;10:;11:;12:;13:;14:;15:;16:;17:;18:;19:;20:;21:;22:; C1 Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, PO Box 600164, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany Department of Earth Sciences, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique/Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, CNRS, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université PSL, Sorbonne Université, Ecole Polytechnique, Paris, France Department of Oceanography, University of Cape Town, Cape Town 7701, South Africa SOCCO, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Cape Town 7700, South Africa Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France Environmental Physics, ETH Zürich, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics and Center for Climate Systems Modeling (C2SM), Zurich, Switzerland Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Postfach 120161, 27515 Bremerhaven, Germany Atmosphere and Ocean Department, Japan Meteorological Agency, 1-3-4 Otemachi, Chyoda-Ku, Tokyo 100-8122, Japan Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA Flanders Marine Institute (VLIZ), Jacobsenstraat 1, 8400 Ostend, Belgium GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany Department of Geosciences and High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Jahnebakken 5, 5007 Bergen, Norway CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4RJ, UK Earth System Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan C2 UNIV E ANGLIA, UK MAX PLANCK INST BIOGEOCHEM, GERMANY BARCELONA SUPERCOMP CTR, SPAIN UNIV PSL, FRANCE UNIV CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA CSIR, SOUTH AFRICA UNIV PARIS SACLAY, FRANCE ETH ZURICH, SWITZERLAND INST A WEGENER, SWITZERLAND JAPAN METEOROL AGCY, GERMANY MAX PLANCK INST METEOROL, GERMANY UNIV CALIF SAN DIEGO, USA VLIZ, BELGIUM IFM GEOMAR, GERMANY UNIV PRINCETON, USA BCCR, USA NORCE, NORWAY UNIV TOULOUSE, FRANCE UNIV EXETER, UK NIES, JAPAN IF 5 TC 4 UR https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00842/95425/103228.pdf https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00842/95425/103229.pdf LA English DT Article CR OISO - OCÉAN INDIEN SERVICE D'OBSERVATION DE ;Southern Ocean;carbon sink;climate;oxygen;interannual;decadal AB The Southern Ocean is a major sink of atmospheric CO2, but the nature and magnitude of its variability remains uncertain and debated. Estimates based on observations suggest substantial variability that is not reproduced by process-based ocean models, with increasingly divergent estimates over the past decade. We examine potential constraints on the nature and magnitude of climate-driven variability of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink from observation-based air-sea O-2 fluxes. On interannual time scales, the variability in the air-sea fluxes of CO2 and O-2 estimated from observations is consistent across the two species and positively correlated with the variability simulated by ocean models. Our analysis suggests that variations in ocean ventilation related to the Southern Annular Mode are responsible for this interannual variability. On decadal time scales, the existence of significant variability in the air-sea CO2 flux estimated from observations also tends to be supported by observation-based estimates of O-2 flux variability. However, the large decadal variability in air-sea CO2 flux is absent from ocean models. Our analysis suggests that issues in representing the balance between the thermal and non-thermal components of the CO2 sink and/or insufficient variability in mode water formation might contribute to the lack of decadal variability in the current generation of ocean models.This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean: the state of the art and future priorities'. PY 2023 PD JUL SO Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society A-mathematical Physical And Engineering Sciences SN 1364-503X PU Royal Soc VL 381 IS 2249 UT 000983226900003 DI 10.1098/rsta.2022.0055 ID 95425 ER EF