Hindcasting the continuum of Dansgaard-Oeschger variability: mechanisms, patterns and timing

Millennial-scale variability associated with Dansgaard-Oeschger events is arguably one of the most puzzling climate phenomena ever discovered in paleoclimate archives. Here, we set out to elucidate the underlying dynamics by conducting a transient global hindcast simulation with a 3-D intermediate complexity earth system model covering the period 50 to 30 ka BP. The model is forced by time-varying external boundary conditions (greenhouse gases, orbital forcing, and ice-sheet orography and albedo) and anomalous North Atlantic freshwater fluxes, which mimic the effects of changing northern hemispheric ice volume on millennial timescales. Together these forcings generate a realistic global climate trajectory, as demonstrated by an extensive model/paleo data comparison. Our results are consistent with the idea that variations in ice-sheet calving and subsequent changes of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation were the main drivers for the continuum of glacial millennial-scale variability seen in paleorecords across the globe.

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Menviel L., Timmermann A., Friedrich T., England M. H. (2014). Hindcasting the continuum of Dansgaard-Oeschger variability: mechanisms, patterns and timing. Climate Of The Past. 10 (1). 63-77. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-63-2014, https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00274/38487/

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