Integrated modelling to support decision-making for marine social-ecological systems in Australia

Type Article
Date 2017-11
Language English
Author(s) Melbourne-Thomas Jessica1, 2, Constable Andrew J.1, 2, Fulton Elizabeth A.3, 4, Corney Stuart P.2, Trebilco Rowan2, Hobday Alistair J.3, 4, Blanchard Julia L.4, 5, Boschetti Fabio6, 7, Bustamante Rodrigo H.8, Cropp Roger9, Everett Jason D.10, 11, Fleming Aysha4, 12, Galton-Fenzi Ben1, 2, Goldsworthy Simon D.13, Lenton Andrew3, Lara-Lopez Ana14, Little Rich3, 4, Marzloff MartinORCID5, 15, Matear Richard3, Mongin Mathieu3, Plaganyi Eva4, 8, Proctor Roger14, Risbey James S.3, Robson Barbara J.12, 16, Smith David C.3, 4, Sumner Michael D.1, 2, Van Putten E. Ingrid3, 4
Affiliation(s) 1 : Australian Antarctic Div, Dept Environm & Energy, Kingston, Tas 7001, Australia.
2 : Univ Tasmania, Antarctic Climate & Ecosyst Cooperat Res Ctr, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia.
3 : CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia.
4 : Univ Tasmania, Ctr Marine Socioecol, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia.
5 : Univ Tasmania, Inst Marine & Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia.
6 : CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Perth, WA 6001, Australia.
7 : Univ Western Australia, Sch Earth & Geog Sci, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia.
8 : CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia.
9 : Griffith Univ, Griffith Sch Environm, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia.
10 : Univ New South Wales, Evolut & Ecol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.
11 : Sydney Inst Marine Sci, Sydney, NSW 2088, Australia.
12 : CSIRO Land & Water, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia.
13 : South Australian Res & Dev Inst, Aquat Sci, West Beach, SA 5024, Australia.
14 : Univ Tasmania, Integrated Marine Observing Syst, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia.
15 : IFREMER Ctr Bretagne, DYNECO Benth Ecol Lab LEBCO, CS 10070, F-29280 Plouzane, France.
16 : CSIRO Land & Water, Black Mt, ACT 2365, Australia.
Source Ices Journal Of Marine Science (1054-3139) (Oxford Univ Press), 2017-11 , Vol. 74 , N. 9 , P. 2298-2308
DOI 10.1093/icesjms/fsx078
WOS© Times Cited 20
Keyword(s) Australia, integrated modelling, marine systems, social-ecological systems
Abstract

Policy- and decision-makers require assessments of status and trends for marine species, habitats, and ecosystems to understand if human activities in the marine environment are sustainable, particularly in the face of global change. Central to many assessments are statistical and dynamical models of populations, communities, ecosystems, and their socioeconomic systems and management frameworks. The establishment of a national system that could facilitate the development of such model-based assessments has been identified as a priority for addressing management challenges for Australia's marine environment. Given that most assessments require cross-scale information, individual models cannot capture all of the spatial, temporal, biological, and socioeconomic scales that are typically needed. Coupling or integrating models across scales and domains can expand the scope for developing comprehensive and internally consistent, system-level assessments, including higher-level feedbacks in social-ecological systems. In this article, we summarize: (i) integrated modelling for marine systems currently being undertaken in Australia, (ii) methods used for integration and comparison of models, and (iii) improvements to facilitate further integration, particularly with respect to standards and specifications. We consider future needs for integrated modelling of marine social-ecological systems in Australia and provide a set of recommendations for priority focus areas in the development of a national approach to integrated modelling. These recommendations draw on-and have broader relevance for-international efforts around integrated modelling to inform decision-making for marine systems.

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Melbourne-Thomas Jessica, Constable Andrew J., Fulton Elizabeth A., Corney Stuart P., Trebilco Rowan, Hobday Alistair J., Blanchard Julia L., Boschetti Fabio, Bustamante Rodrigo H., Cropp Roger, Everett Jason D., Fleming Aysha, Galton-Fenzi Ben, Goldsworthy Simon D., Lenton Andrew, Lara-Lopez Ana, Little Rich, Marzloff Martin, Matear Richard, Mongin Mathieu, Plaganyi Eva, Proctor Roger, Risbey James S., Robson Barbara J., Smith David C., Sumner Michael D., Van Putten E. Ingrid (2017). Integrated modelling to support decision-making for marine social-ecological systems in Australia. Ices Journal Of Marine Science, 74(9), 2298-2308. Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsx078 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00414/52595/