Towards Comprehensive Observing and Modeling Systems for Monitoring and Predicting Regional to Coastal Sea Level

Type Article
Date 2019-07
Language English
Author(s) Ponte Rui M.1, Carson Mark2, Cirano Mauro3, Domingues Catia M.4, Jevrejeva Svetlana5, 6, Marcos Marta7, Mitchum Gary8, Van De Wal R. S. W.9, Woodworth Philip L.5, Ablain Michaël10, Ardhuin FabriceORCID11, Ballu Valérie12, Becker Mélanie12, Benveniste Jérôme13, Birol Florence14, Bradshaw Elizabeth5, Cazenave Anny14, 15, De Mey-Frémaux P.14, Durand Fabien14, Ezer Tal16, Fu Lee-Lueng17, Fukumori Ichiro17, Gordon Kathy5, Gravelle Médéric12, Griffies Stephen M.18, Han Weiqing19, Hibbert Angela5, Hughes Chris W.5, 20, Idier Déborah21, Kourafalou Villy H.22, Little Christopher M.1, Matthews Andrew5, Melet Angélique23, Merrifield Mark24, Meyssignac Benoit14, Minobe Shoshiro25, Penduff Thierry26, Picot Nicolas27, Piecuch Christopher28, Ray Richard D.29, Rickards Lesley5, Santamaría-Gómez Alvaro30, Stammer Detlef2, Staneva Joanna31, Testut Laurent12, 14, Thompson Keith32, Thompson Philip33, Vignudelli Stefano34, Williams Joanne5, Williams Simon D. P.5, Wöppelmann Guy12, Zanna Laure35, Zhang Xuebin36
Affiliation(s) 1 : Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, MA, United States
2 : CEN, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
3 : Department of Meteorology, Institute of Geociences, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
4 : ACE CRC, IMAS, CLEX, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
5 : National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom
6 : Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Meteorological Service Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
7 : IMEDEA (UIB-CSIC), Esporles, Spain
8 : College of Marine Science, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, United States
9 : Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht and Geosciences, Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
10 : MAGELLIUM, Ramonville Saint-Agne, France
11 : Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale (LOPS), CNRS, IRD, Ifremer, IUEM, University of Western Brittany, Brest, France
12 : LIENSs, CNRS, Université de La Rochelle, La Rochelle, France
13 : European Space Agency (ESA-ESRIN), Frascati, Italy
14 : LEGOS CNES, CNRS, IRD, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
15 : International Space Science Institute (ISSI), Bern, Switzerland
16 : Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography (CCPO), Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, United States
17 : Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
18 : NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
19 : Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
20 : Department of Earth, Ocean and Ecological Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
21 : BRGM, Orléans, France
22 : RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States
23 : Mercator Ocean International, Ramonville-Saint-Agne, France
24 : Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States
25 : Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Faculty of Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
26 : CNRS, IRD, Grenoble-INP, IGE, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France
27 : CNES, Toulouse, France
28 : Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States
29 : Geodesy and Geophysics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
30 : Géosciences Environnement Toulouse (GET), Université de Toulouse, CNRS, IRD, UPS, Toulouse, France
31 : Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany
32 : Department of Oceanography, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
33 : Department of Oceanography, University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, United States
34 : Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR), Pisa, Italy
35 : Department of Physics, Clarendon Laboratory, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
36 : Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS, Australia
Source Frontiers In Marine Science (2296-7745) (Frontiers Media SA), 2019-07 , Vol. 6 , N. 437 , P. 25p.
DOI 10.3389/fmars.2019.00437
WOS© Times Cited 14
Keyword(s) coastal sea level, sea-level trends, coastal ocean modeling, coastal impacts, coastal adaptation, observational gaps, integrated observing system
Abstract

A major challenge for managing impacts and implementing effective mitigation measures and adaptation strategies for coastal zones affected by future sea level (SL) rise is our limited capacity to predict SL change at the coast on relevant spatial and temporal scales. Predicting coastal SL requires the ability to monitor and simulate a multitude of physical processes affecting SL, from local effects of wind waves and river runoff to remote influences of the large-scale ocean circulation on the coast. Here we assess our current understanding of the causes of coastal SL variability on monthly to multi-decadal timescales, including geodetic, oceanographic and atmospheric aspects of the problem, and review available observing systems informing on coastal SL. We also review the ability of existing models and data assimilation systems to estimate coastal SL variations and of atmosphere-ocean global coupled models and related regional downscaling efforts to project future SL changes. We discuss (1) observational gaps and uncertainties, and priorities for the development of an optimal and integrated coastal SL observing system, (2) strategies for advancing model capabilities in forecasting short-term processes and projecting long-term changes affecting coastal SL, and (3) possible future developments of sea level services enabling better connection of scientists and user communities and facilitating assessment and decision making for adaptation to future coastal SL change.

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Ponte Rui M., Carson Mark, Cirano Mauro, Domingues Catia M., Jevrejeva Svetlana, Marcos Marta, Mitchum Gary, Van De Wal R. S. W., Woodworth Philip L., Ablain Michaël, Ardhuin Fabrice, Ballu Valérie, Becker Mélanie, Benveniste Jérôme, Birol Florence, Bradshaw Elizabeth, Cazenave Anny, De Mey-Frémaux P., Durand Fabien, Ezer Tal, Fu Lee-Lueng, Fukumori Ichiro, Gordon Kathy, Gravelle Médéric, Griffies Stephen M., Han Weiqing, Hibbert Angela, Hughes Chris W., Idier Déborah, Kourafalou Villy H., Little Christopher M., Matthews Andrew, Melet Angélique, Merrifield Mark, Meyssignac Benoit, Minobe Shoshiro, Penduff Thierry, Picot Nicolas, Piecuch Christopher, Ray Richard D., Rickards Lesley, Santamaría-Gómez Alvaro, Stammer Detlef, Staneva Joanna, Testut Laurent, Thompson Keith, Thompson Philip, Vignudelli Stefano, Williams Joanne, Williams Simon D. P., Wöppelmann Guy, Zanna Laure, Zhang Xuebin (2019). Towards Comprehensive Observing and Modeling Systems for Monitoring and Predicting Regional to Coastal Sea Level. Frontiers In Marine Science, 6(437), 25p. Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00437 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00508/61958/