Copy this text
A recent decline in North Atlantic subtropical mode water formation
As a manifestation of mixing dynamics in the upper ocean, interannual and decadal variability of subtropical mode water (STMW) properties in the North Atlantic Ocean provides a valuable insight into ocean–atmosphere interaction in a changing climate. Here, we use hydrographic data from the Bermuda Atlantic Time-Series Study and Hydrostation S sites near Bermuda, as well as various ocean reanalysis products, to evaluate the modern variability of STMW properties. Our study finds an 86–93% loss of STMW thickness at these sites between 2010 and 2018 and a comparable loss throughout the western subtropical gyre, culminating in the weakest STMW pentad on record. We correlate this decline with a reduction in the annual outcropping volume and northward excursions of the formation region, suggesting a gyre-wide signal of weakening STMW generation. The outcropping volume of STMW is anti-correlated with surface ocean heat content, foreshadowing future STMW loss in the face of continued warming.
Full Text
File | Pages | Size | Access | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Publisher's official version | 15 | 7 Mo | ||
Extended Data Fig. 1 Time-series plots of STMW core properties. | - | 54 Ko | ||
Extended Data Fig. 2 Statistical comparison of STMW parameters for the two weakest STMW periods. | - | 53 Ko | ||
Extended Data Fig. 3 Map of Argo float profiles. | - | 53 Ko | ||
Extended Data Fig. 4 Table detailing different STMW definitions. | - | 53 Ko | ||
Extended Data Fig. 5 Time-series plots of STMW properties based on different identification algorithms. | - | 53 Ko | ||
Extended Data Fig. 6 NAO-STMW correlation time-series. | - | 53 Ko | ||
Supplementary Information | 4 | 614 Ko | ||
Author's final draft | 39 | 4 Mo | ||
Publisher Correction | 1 | 524 Ko |