Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps
Type | Article | ||||||||||||
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Date | 2021-04 | ||||||||||||
Language | English | ||||||||||||
Author(s) | Behrens Jörn1, Løvholt Finn2, Jalayer Fatemeh3, Lorito Stefano4, Salgado-Gálvez Mario A.5, 6, Sørensen Mathilde7, Abadie Stephane8, Aguirre-Ayerbe Ignacio9, Aniel-Quiroga Iñigo9, Babeyko Andrey10, Baiguera Marco11, Basili Roberto4, Belliazzi Stefano3, Grezio Anita12, Johnson Kendra13, Murphy Shane14, Paris Raphaël15, Rafliana Irina16, 17, de Risi Raffaele18, Rossetto Tiziana11, Selva Jacopo12, Taroni Matteo4, Del Zoppo Marta3, Armigliato Alberto19, Bureš Vladimír20, Cech Pavel20, Cecioni Claudia21, Christodoulides Paul22, Davies Gareth23, Dias Frédéric24, Bayraktar Hafize Başak3, González Mauricio9, Gritsevich Maria25, 26, 27, Guillas Serge11, Harbitz Carl Bonnevie2, Kânoǧlu Utku28, Macías Jorge29, Papadopoulos Gerassimos A.30, Polet Jascha31, Romano Fabrizio4, Salamon Amos32, Scala Antonio3, Stepinac Mislav33, Tappin David R.11, 34, Thio Hong Kie35, Tonini Roberto4, Triantafyllou Ioanna36, Ulrich Thomas37, Varini Elisa38, Volpe Manuela4, Vyhmeister Eduardo39 | ||||||||||||
Affiliation(s) | 1 : Department of Mathematics/CEN, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany 2 : NGI - Norwegian Geotechnical Institute, Oslo, Norway 3 : University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy 4 : Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy 5 : ERN Internacional, Mexico City, Mexico 6 : Centre Internacional de Metodes Numerics en Enginyeria (CIMNE), Barcelona, Spain 7 : University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway 8 : Universite de Pau et des Pays de L’Adour, E2S UPPA, SIAME, France 9 : IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de La Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain 10 : Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ, Potsdam, Germany 11 : University College London, London, United Kingdom 12 : Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy 13 : GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy 14 : Ifremer, Plouzané, France 15 : Laboratoire Magmas and Volcans, Aubière, France 16 : German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn, Germany 17 : Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI), Jakarta, Indonesia 18 : University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom 19 : Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy 20 : University of Hradec Kralove, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic 21 : Università Degli Studi Roma Tre, Rome, Italy 22 : Cyprus University of Technology, Limassol, Cyprus 23 : Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia 24 : University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland 25 : Finnish Geospatial Research Institute (FGI), Masala, Finland 26 : Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland 27 : Institute of Physics and Technology, Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation 28 : Department of Engineering Sciences, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey 29 : Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Málaga, Málaga, Spain 30 : International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Athens, Greece 31 : Cal Poly Pomona, Pomona, CA, United States 32 : Geological Survey of Israel, Jerusalem, Israel 33 : University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia 34 : British Geological Survey, Nottingham, United Kingdom 35 : AECOM, Los Angeles, CA, United States 36 : Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece 37 : Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany 38 : C.N.R. - Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies, Milano, Italy 39 : Insight Research Centre, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland |
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Source | Frontiers In Earth Science (2296-6463) (Frontiers Media SA), 2021-04 , Vol. 9 , P. 628772 (28p.) | ||||||||||||
DOI | 10.3389/feart.2021.628772 | ||||||||||||
WOS© Times Cited | 62 | ||||||||||||
Keyword(s) | tsunami, probabilistic method, hazard, risk, research gap | ||||||||||||
Abstract | Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach. |
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