Exploring the coupled ocean and atmosphere system with a data science approach applied to observations from the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition

Type Article
Date 2021-11
Language English
Author(s) Landwehr SebastianORCID1, Volpi Michele2, Haumann F. AlexanderORCID3, 4, Robinson Charlotte M.5, Thurnherr IrisORCID6, 7, Ferracci ValerioORCID8, Baccarini AndreaORCID1, 13, Thomas JennyORCID9, Gorodetskaya IrinaORCID10, 11, Tatzelt Christian12, Henning SilviaORCID12, Modini Rob L.ORCID13, Forrer Heather J.14, 15, Lin Yajuan16, 17, 18, Cassar Nicolas16, 17, Simó Rafel19, Hassler Christel9, 20, Moallemi Alireza13, Fawcett Sarah E.14, Harris NeilORCID8, Airs Ruth21, Derkani Marzieh H.ORCID22, Alberello AlbertoORCID23, Toffoli Alessandro22, Chen GangORCID13, Rodríguez-Ros PabloORCID19, Zamanillo Marina19, Cortés-Greus Pau19, Xue Lei24, Bolas Conor G.25, Leonard Katherine C.11, 26, Perez-Cruz Fernando2, 27, Walton David4, Schmale JuliaORCID1
Affiliation(s) 1 : Extreme Environments Research Laboratory, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
2 : Swiss Data Science Center, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
3 : Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540-6654, USA
4 : British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK
5 : Remote Sensing and Satellite Research Group, School of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Curtin University, Kent Street, Bentley, WA 6102, Australia
6 : Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
7 : Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
8 : Centre for Environmental and Agricultural Informatics, School of Water, Energy & Environment Cranfield University, College Road, Cranfield MK43 0AL, Bedfordshire, UK
9 : Swiss Polar Institute, Lausanne, Switzerland
10 : Centre for Environmental and Marine Studies, Department of Physics, University of Aveiro, Aveiro, Portugal
11 : Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
12 : Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research, Leipzig, Germany
13 : Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry, Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen, Switzerland
14 : Department of Oceanography, University of Cape Town, 7701, Cape Town, South Africa
15 : Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science Department, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA
16 : Division of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA
17 : Laboratoir des sciences de l'environnement marin, University of Brest, Brest, France
18 : Duke Kunshan University, Kunshan, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
19 : Institut de Ciències del Mar (ICM-CSIC), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
20 : Department F.-A. Forel for Environmental and Aquatic Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
21 : Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth PL1 3DH, UK
22 : Department of Infrastructure Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia
23 : Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan
24 : Department of Chemistry, College of Environmental Science and Forestry, State University of New York, Syracuse, NY 13210, USA
25 : ITOPF Ltd., London EC1Y 1DT, UK
26 : Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA
27 : Department of Computer Science at ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Source Earth System Dynamics (2190-4979) (Copernicus GmbH), 2021-11 , Vol. 12 , N. 4 , P. 1295-1369
DOI 10.5194/esd-12-1295-2021
WOS© Times Cited 10
Abstract

The Southern Ocean is a critical component of Earth's climate system, but its remoteness makes it challenging to develop a holistic understanding of its processes from the small scale to the large scale. As a result, our knowledge of this vast region remains largely incomplete. The Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition (ACE, austral summer 2016/2017) surveyed a large number of variables describing the state of the ocean and the atmosphere, the freshwater cycle, atmospheric chemistry, and ocean biogeochemistry and microbiology. This circumpolar cruise included visits to 12 remote islands, the marginal ice zone, and the Antarctic coast. Here, we use 111 of the observed variables to study the latitudinal gradients, seasonality, shorter-term variations, geographic setting of environmental processes, and interactions between them over the duration of 90 d. To reduce the dimensionality and complexity of the dataset and make the relations between variables interpretable we applied an unsupervised machine learning method, the sparse principal component analysis (sPCA), which describes environmental processes through 14 latent variables. To derive a robust statistical perspective on these processes and to estimate the uncertainty in the sPCA decomposition, we have developed a bootstrap approach. Our results provide a proof of concept that sPCA with uncertainty analysis is able to identify temporal patterns from diurnal to seasonal cycles, as well as geographical gradients and “hotspots” of interaction between environmental compartments. While confirming many well known processes, our analysis provides novel insights into the Southern Ocean water cycle (freshwater fluxes), trace gases (interplay between seasonality, sources, and sinks), and microbial communities (nutrient limitation and island mass effects at the largest scale ever reported). More specifically, we identify the important role of the oceanic circulations, frontal zones, and islands in shaping the nutrient availability that controls biological community composition and productivity; the fact that sea ice controls sea water salinity, dampens the wave field, and is associated with increased phytoplankton growth and net community productivity possibly due to iron fertilisation and reduced light limitation; and the clear regional patterns of aerosol characteristics that have emerged, stressing the role of the sea state, atmospheric chemical processing, and source processes near hotspots for the availability of cloud condensation nuclei and hence cloud formation. A set of key variables and their combinations, such as the difference between the air and sea surface temperature, atmospheric pressure, sea surface height, geostrophic currents, upper-ocean layer light intensity, surface wind speed and relative humidity played an important role in our analysis, highlighting the necessity for Earth system models to represent them adequately. In conclusion, our study highlights the use of sPCA to identify key ocean–atmosphere interactions across physical, chemical, and biological processes and their associated spatio-temporal scales. It thereby fills an important gap between simple correlation analyses and complex Earth system models. The sPCA processing code is available as open-access from the following link: https://renkulab.io/gitlab/ACE-ASAID/spca-decomposition (last access: 29 March 2021). As we show here, it can be used for an exploration of environmental data that is less prone to cognitive biases (and confirmation biases in particular) compared to traditional regression analysis that might be affected by the underlying research question.

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Landwehr Sebastian, Volpi Michele, Haumann F. Alexander, Robinson Charlotte M., Thurnherr Iris, Ferracci Valerio, Baccarini Andrea, Thomas Jenny, Gorodetskaya Irina, Tatzelt Christian, Henning Silvia, Modini Rob L., Forrer Heather J., Lin Yajuan, Cassar Nicolas, Simó Rafel, Hassler Christel, Moallemi Alireza, Fawcett Sarah E., Harris Neil, Airs Ruth, Derkani Marzieh H., Alberello Alberto, Toffoli Alessandro, Chen Gang, Rodríguez-Ros Pablo, Zamanillo Marina, Cortés-Greus Pau, Xue Lei, Bolas Conor G., Leonard Katherine C., Perez-Cruz Fernando, Walton David, Schmale Julia (2021). Exploring the coupled ocean and atmosphere system with a data science approach applied to observations from the Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition. Earth System Dynamics, 12(4), 1295-1369. Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1295-2021 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00739/85133/