Absence of an internal multidecadal oscillation in the North Atlantic has consequences for anticipating the future of marine ecosystems
Type | Article | ||||||||||||
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Date | 2021 | ||||||||||||
Language | English | ||||||||||||
Author(s) | Beaugrand G1, Faillettaz Robin2, Kirby R.R.3, 4 | ||||||||||||
Affiliation(s) | 1 : Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences, Station marine de Wimereux, Université de Lille, 28 avenue Foch, 62930 Wimereux, France 2 : Ifremer, STH, Laboratoire de Technologie et de Biologie Halieutique, 8 rue François Toullec, 56100 Lorient, France 3 : The Secchi Disk Foundation, Kiln Cottage, Gnaton, Yealmpton, Devon PL8 2HU, UK 4 : Ronin Institute, Montclair, NJ 07043, USA |
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Source | Climate Research (0936-577X) (Inter-Research Science Center), 2021 , Vol. 85 , P. 107-111 | ||||||||||||
DOI | 10.3354/cr01676 | ||||||||||||
WOS© Times Cited | 1 | ||||||||||||
Keyword(s) | Climate change, Russell Cycle, Bluefin tuna, Sea surface temperature, AMO | ||||||||||||
Abstract | The North Atlantic marine ecosystem has been expected to adjust imminently to a negative phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). Recent results suggest, however, that the AMO is not a regular internal source of variability, but has been driven by both volcanism and sulphate aerosol emissions that have influenced temperature negatively, and a period of greenhouse gas accumulation causing temperatures to be higher than normal. The demise of the AMO removes the expected and imminent cyclical change from the current warm phase to a negative cool phase in the North Atlantic. Here, we discuss the implications of this new finding for the near-future of North Atlantic marine ecosystems in a context of rapid climate warming. |
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