Copy this text
Bounded nonlinear forecasts of partially observed geophysical systems with physics-constrained deep learning
The complexity of real-world geophysical systems is often compounded by the fact that the observed measurements depend on hidden variables. These latent variables include unresolved small scales and/or rapidly evolving processes, partially observed couplings, or forcings in coupled systems. This is the case in ocean-atmosphere dynamics, for which unknown interior dynamics can affect surface observations. The identification of computationally-relevant representations of such partially-observed and highly nonlinear systems is thus challenging and often limited to short-term forecast applications. Here, we investigate the physics-constrained learning of implicit dynamical embeddings, leveraging neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) representations. In particular, we restrict the NODE representation to linear-quadratic dynamics and enforce a global boundedness constraint, which promotes the generalization of the learned dynamics to arbitrary initial conditions. The proposed architecture is implemented within a deep learning framework, and its relevance is demonstrated with respect to state-of-the-art schemes for different case studies representative of geophysical dynamics.
Keyword(s)
Partially-observed systems, Embedding, Boundedness, Deep learning, Neural ODE, Forecasting
Full Text
File | Pages | Size | Access | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Author's final draft | 48 | 8 Mo | ||
Publisher's official version | 19 | 3 Mo |