Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set

Type Article
Date 2010-10
Language English
Author(s) Menendez MelisaORCID1, Woodworth Philip L.2
Affiliation(s) 1 : Univ Cantabria, ETS Ingenieros Caminos Canales & Puertos, Environm Hydraul Inst, E-39005 Santander, Spain.
2 : Proudman Oceanog Lab, Liverpool L3 5DA, Merseyside, England.
Source Journal Of Geophysical Research-oceans (2169-9275) (Amer Geophysical Union), 2010-10 , Vol. 115 , N. C10011 , P. 15p.
DOI 10.1029/2009JC005997
WOS© Times Cited 311
Keyword(s) extreme sea levels, climate variability, statistical modeling
Abstract

A quasi-global sea level data set from tide gauges has been used to investigate extreme sea level events and their spatial and temporal variabilities. Modern methods based on a nonstationary extreme value analysis have been applied to the maxima of the total elevations and surges for the period of 1970 and onward. A subset of the data was used to study changes over the 20th century. The analyses demonstrate the magnitude and timing of the seasonal cycle of extreme sea level occurrence, the magnitude of long-term trends in extreme sea levels, the evidence for perigean and nodal astronomical tidal components in the extremes, and the relationship of the interannual variability in high water levels to other ocean and atmosphere variations as represented by climate indices. The subtraction from the extreme sea levels of the corresponding annual median sea level results in a reduction in the magnitude of trends at most stations, leading to the conclusion that much of the change in the extremes is due to change in the mean values.

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