The representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Earth system models and implications for the carbon cycle

Type Article
Date 2023-04
Language English
Author(s) Planchat Alban1, Kwiatkowski LesterORCID2, Bopp Laurent1, Torres Olivier1, Christian James R.3, Butenschön MommeORCID4, Lovato Tomas4, Séférian RolandORCID5, Chamberlain Matthew A.ORCID6, Aumont Olivier2, Watanabe MichioORCID7, Yamamoto AkitomoORCID7, Yool AndrewORCID8, Ilyina TatianaORCID9, Tsujino HiroyukiORCID10, Krumhardt Kristen M.ORCID11, Schwinger JörgORCID12, Tjiputra JerryORCID12, Dunne John P.13, Stock Charles13
Affiliation(s) 1 : LMD-IPSL, CNRS, Ecole Normale Supeìrieure/PSL Res. Université, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université, Paris, 75005, France
2 : LOCEAN Laboratory, Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, Paris, 75005, France
3 : Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada
4 : Ocean Modeling and Data Assimilation Division, Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy
5 : CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
6 : CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS, Australia
7 : Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan
8 : National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, SO13 3ZH, UK
9 : Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
10 : JMA Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
11 : Climate and Global Dynamics, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
12 : NORCE Climate and Environment, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
13 : NOAA/OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA
Source Biogeosciences (1726-4170) (Copernicus GmbH), 2023-04 , Vol. 20 , N. 7 , P. 1195-1257
DOI 10.5194/bg-20-1195-2023
WOS© Times Cited 7
Abstract

Ocean alkalinity is critical to the uptake of atmospheric carbon in surface waters and provides buffering capacity towards the associated acidification. However, unlike dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), alkalinity is not directly impacted by anthropogenic carbon emissions. Within the context of projections of future ocean carbon uptake and potential ecosystem impacts, especially through Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIPs), the representation of alkalinity and the main driver of its distribution in the ocean interior, the calcium carbonate cycle, have often been overlooked. Here we track the changes from CMIP5 to CMIP6 with respect to the Earth system model (ESM) representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump which depletes the surface ocean in alkalinity through biological production of calcium carbonate and releases it at depth through export and dissolution. We report an improvement in the representation of alkalinity in CMIP6 ESMs relative to those in CMIP5, with CMIP6 ESMs simulating lower surface alkalinity concentrations, an increased meridional surface gradient and an enhanced global vertical gradient. This improvement can be explained in part by an increase in calcium carbonate (CaCO3) production for some ESMs, which redistributes alkalinity at the surface and strengthens its vertical gradient in the water column. We were able to constrain a particulate inorganic carbon (PIC) export estimate of 44–55 Tmol yr−1 at 100 m for the ESMs to match the observed vertical gradient of alkalinity. Reviewing the representation of the CaCO3 cycle across CMIP5/6, we find a substantial range of parameterizations. While all biogeochemical models currently represent pelagic calcification, they do so implicitly, and they do not represent benthic calcification. In addition, most models simulate marine calcite but not aragonite. In CMIP6, certain model groups have increased the complexity of simulated CaCO3 production, sinking, dissolution and sedimentation. However, this is insufficient to explain the overall improvement in the alkalinity representation, which is therefore likely a result of marine biogeochemistry model tuning or ad hoc parameterizations. Although modellers aim to balance the global alkalinity budget in ESMs in order to limit drift in ocean carbon uptake under pre-industrial conditions, varying assumptions related to the closure of the budget and/or the alkalinity initialization procedure have the potential to influence projections of future carbon uptake. For instance, in many models, carbonate production, dissolution and burial are independent of the seawater saturation state, and when considered, the range of sensitivities is substantial. As such, the future impact of ocean acidification on the carbonate pump, and in turn ocean carbon uptake, is potentially underestimated in current ESMs and is insufficiently constrained.

Full Text
File Pages Size Access
Publisher's official version 63 23 MB Open access
Supplement 328 KB Open access
Preprint 76 23 MB Open access
Supplement to the preprint 46 KB Open access
Top of the page

How to cite 

Planchat Alban, Kwiatkowski Lester, Bopp Laurent, Torres Olivier, Christian James R., Butenschön Momme, Lovato Tomas, Séférian Roland, Chamberlain Matthew A., Aumont Olivier, Watanabe Michio, Yamamoto Akitomo, Yool Andrew, Ilyina Tatiana, Tsujino Hiroyuki, Krumhardt Kristen M., Schwinger Jörg, Tjiputra Jerry, Dunne John P., Stock Charles (2023). The representation of alkalinity and the carbonate pump from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Earth system models and implications for the carbon cycle. Biogeosciences, 20(7), 1195-1257. Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-1195-2023 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00842/95442/