Skill assessment of models relevant for the implementation of ecosystem-based fisheries management

Type Article
Date 2023-12
Language English
Author(s) Kempf Alexander1, Spence Michael A.2, Lehuta SigridORCID3, Trijoulet Vanessa4, Bartolino Valerio5, Villanueva Ching-MariaORCID6, Gaichas Sarah K.7
Affiliation(s) 1 : Thünen Institut für Seefischerei, Herwigstraße 31, 2750 Bremerhaven, Germany
2 : Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Pakefield Road, Lowestoft, Suffolk NR33 0HT, UK
3 : DECOD (Ecosystem Dynamics and Sustainability), IFREMER, INRAE, Institut Agro - Agrocampus Ouest, Nantes, France
4 : National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Kemitorvet, Building 201, 2800 Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark
5 : Department of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Turistgatan 5, 45330 Lysekil, Sweden
6 : DECOD (Ecosystem Dynamics and Sustainability), IFREMER, INRAE, Institut Agro - Agrocampus Ouest, 29280, Nantes, France
7 : NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, 166 Water Street, Woods Hole, MA, USA
Source Fisheries Research (0165-7836) (Elsevier BV), 2023-12 , Vol. 268 , P. 106845 (13p.)
DOI 10.1016/j.fishres.2023.106845
WOS© Times Cited 1
Keyword(s) Ecosystem based fisheries management, Skil l assessment, Fisheries advice, Ecosystem models, Multispecies models
Abstract

The advance of ecosystem-based fisheries management worldwide has made scientific advice on fisheries related questions more complex. However, despite the need to take interactions between fish stocks, and between stocks and their environment into account, multispecies and ecosystem models are still hardly used as a basis for fishery advice. Although reasons are numerous, the lack of high-level guidance for target-oriented skill assessments of such models contributes to the mistrust to use such models for advice. In this study, we propose a framework of guiding questions for a pragmatic and target-oriented skill assessment. The framework is relevant for all models irrespective of their complexity and approach. It starts with general questions on the advice purpose itself, the type of model(s) and data available for performance testing. After this, the credibility of the hindcasts are evaluated. A special emphasis is finally put on testing predictive skills. The skill assessment framework proposed provides a tool to evaluate a model’s suitability for the purpose of providing specific advice and aims to avoid the bad practice of incomplete skill assessments. In the case of multiple models available, it can facilitate the evaluation or choosing of the best model(s) for a given advice product and intends to ensure a level playing field between models of different complexities. The suite of questions proposed is an important step to improve the quality of advice products for a successful implementation of ecosystem-based fisheries management.

Licence CC-BY-NC-ND
Full Text
File Pages Size Access
Publisher's official version 13 3 MB Open access
Supplementary material. 37 KB Open access
Top of the page