Global decline of pelagic fauna in a warmer ocean

Type Article
Date 2022-10
Language English
Author(s) Ariza AlejandroORCID1, Lengaigne MatthieuORCID1, Menkes ChristopheORCID2, Lebourges-Dhaussy AnneORCID3, Receveur AuroreORCID4, Gorgues ThomasORCID5, Habasque Jeremie3, Gutiérrez MarianoORCID6, Maury OlivierORCID1, Bertrand ArnaudORCID1
Affiliation(s) 1 : MARBEC, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRD, Sète, France
2 : ENTROPIE, IRD, CNRS, Ifremer, Université de la Réunion, Université de la Nouvelle-Calédonie, Nouméa, New Caledonia
3 : LEMAR, UBO, CNRS, IRD, Ifremer, Plouzané, France
4 : CESAB-FRB, Montpellier, France
5 : LOPS, UBO, CNRS, IRD, Ifremer, Plouzané, France
6 : Instituto Humboldt de Investigación Marina y Acuícola, Lima, Peru
Source Nature Climate Change (1758-678X) (Springer Science and Business Media LLC), 2022-10 , Vol. 12 , N. 10 , P. 928-934
DOI 10.1038/s41558-022-01479-2
WOS© Times Cited 12
Abstract

Pelagic fauna is expected to be impacted under climate change according to ecosystem simulations. However, the direction and magnitude of the impact is still uncertain and still not corroborated by observation-based statistical studies. Here we compile a global underwater sonar database and 20 ocean climate projections to predict the future distribution of sound-scattering fauna around the world’s oceans. We show that global pelagic fauna will be seriously compromised by the end of the twenty-first century if we continue under the current greenhouse emission scenario. Low and mid latitudes are expected to lose from 3% to 22% of animal biomass due to the expansion of low-productive systems, while higher latitudes would be populated by present-day temperate fauna, supporting results from ecosystem simulations. We further show that strong mitigation measures to contain global warming below 2 °C would reduce these impacts to less than half.

Full Text
File Pages Size Access
22 9 MB Access on demand
14 8 MB Access on demand
2 73 KB Access on demand
205 KB Access on demand
Author's final draft 35 15 MB Open access
Top of the page

How to cite 

Ariza Alejandro, Lengaigne Matthieu, Menkes Christophe, Lebourges-Dhaussy Anne, Receveur Aurore, Gorgues Thomas, Habasque Jeremie, Gutiérrez Mariano, Maury Olivier, Bertrand Arnaud (2022). Global decline of pelagic fauna in a warmer ocean. Nature Climate Change, 12(10), 928-934. Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01479-2 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00798/90957/