Bounded nonlinear forecasts of partially observed geophysical systems with physics-constrained deep learning

Type Article
Date 2023-04
Language English
Author(s) Ouala Said1, Brunton Steven L.2, Chapron BertrandORCID3, Pascual Ananda4, Collard Fabrice5, Gaultier Lucile5, Fablet Ronan1
Affiliation(s) 1 : IMT Atlantique; Lab-STICC, 29200 Brest, France
2 : University of Washington, USA
3 : Ifremer, Lops, 29200 Brest, France
4 : IMEDEA, UIB-CSIC, 07190 Esporles, Spain
5 : ODL, 29200 Brest, France
Source Physica D-nonlinear Phenomena (0167-2789) (Elsevier BV), 2023-04 , Vol. 446 , P. 133630 (19p.)
DOI 10.1016/j.physd.2022.133630
WOS© Times Cited 5
Keyword(s) Partially-observed systems, Embedding, Boundedness, Deep learning, Neural ODE, Forecasting
Abstract

The complexity of real-world geophysical systems is often compounded by the fact that the observed measurements depend on hidden variables. These latent variables include unresolved small scales and/or rapidly evolving processes, partially observed couplings, or forcings in coupled systems. This is the case in ocean-atmosphere dynamics, for which unknown interior dynamics can affect surface observations. The identification of computationally-relevant representations of such partially-observed and highly nonlinear systems is thus challenging and often limited to short-term forecast applications. Here, we investigate the physics-constrained learning of implicit dynamical embeddings, leveraging neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) representations. In particular, we restrict the NODE representation to linear-quadratic dynamics and enforce a global boundedness constraint, which promotes the generalization of the learned dynamics to arbitrary initial conditions. The proposed architecture is implemented within a deep learning framework, and its relevance is demonstrated with respect to state-of-the-art schemes for different case studies representative of geophysical dynamics.

Full Text
File Pages Size Access
Author's final draft 48 8 MB Open access
19 3 MB Access on demand
Top of the page

How to cite 

Ouala Said, Brunton Steven L., Chapron Bertrand, Pascual Ananda, Collard Fabrice, Gaultier Lucile, Fablet Ronan (2023). Bounded nonlinear forecasts of partially observed geophysical systems with physics-constrained deep learning. Physica D-nonlinear Phenomena, 446, 133630 (19p.). Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2022.133630 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00815/92707/