Contrasting ecological information content in whaling archives with modern cetacean surveys for conservation planning and identification of historical distribution changes

Other titles Contrastes del contenido de información ecológica entre los archivos de la caza de ballenas y los censos actuales de cetáceos para la planeación de la conservación y la identificación de cambios en la distribución histórica
Type Article
Date 2023-06
Language English
Author(s) Letessier Tom B.ORCID1, 2, 3, Mannocci LauraORCID1, 4, Goodwin Brittney2, 5, Embling Clare6, de Vos Asha3, 7, Anderson R. Charles8, Ingram Simon N.6, Rogan Andy9, Turvey Samuel T.2
Affiliation(s) 1 : FRB‐CESAB ,Montpellier, France
2 : Institute of Zoology ,Zoological Society of London London,UK
3 : School of Biological Sciences, University of Western Australia Perth Western Australia ,Australia
4 : MARBEC, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRD Montpellier ,France
5 : Royal Veterinary College ,London ,UK
6 : School of Biological and Marine Sciences ,University of Plymouth Plymouth ,UK
7 : Oceanswell ,Colombo, Sri Lanka
8 : Manta Marine Pvt Ltd ,Malé, Maldives
9 : Ocean Alliance Gloucester, Massachusetts ,USA
Source Conservation Biology (0888-8892) (Wiley), 2023-06 , Vol. 37 , N. 3 , P. e14043 (15p.)
DOI 10.1111/cobi.14043
WOS© Times Cited 1
Keyword(s) baselines, historical ecology, niche, range shift, refugee species, residual, sperm whale
Abstract

Many species are restricted to a marginal or suboptimal fraction of their historical range due to anthropogenic impacts, making it hard to interpret their ecological preferences from modern-day data alone. However, inferring past ecological states is limited by the availability of robust data and biases in historical archives, posing a challenge for policy makers . To highlight how historical records can be used to understand the ecological requirements of threatened species and inform conservation, we investigated sperm whale (Physeter macrocephalus) distribution in the Western Indian Ocean. We assessed differences in information content and habitat suitability predictions based on whale occurrence data from Yankee whaling logs (1792–1912) and from modern cetacean surveys (1995–2020). We built maximum entropy habitat suitability models containing static (bathymetry-derived) variables to compare models comprising historical-only and modern-only data. Using both historical and modern habitat suitability predictions  we assessed marine protected area (MPA) placement by contrasting suitability in- and outside MPAs. The historical model predicted high habitat suitability in shelf and coastal regions near continents and islands, whereas the modern model predicted a less coastal distribution with high habitat suitability more restricted to areas of steep topography. The proportion of high habitat suitability inside versus outside MPAs was higher when applying the historical predictions than the modern predictions, suggesting that different marine spatial planning optimums can be reached from either data sources. Moreover, differences in relative habitat suitability predictions between eras were consistent with the historical depletion of sperm whales from coastal regions, which were easily accessed and targeted by whalers, resulting in a modern distribution limited more to steep continental margins and remote oceanic ridges. The use of historical data can provide important new insights and, through cautious interpretation, inform conservation planning and policy, for example, by identifying refugee species and regions of anticipated population recovery.

 

Abstract <p>Muchas especies est&aacute;n restringidas a una fracci&oacute;n marginal o sub&oacute;ptima de su &aacute;rea de distribuci&oacute;n hist&oacute;rica debido a impactos antropog&eacute;nicos. Esto dificulta interpretar sus preferencias ecol&oacute;gicas con s&oacute;lo usar los datos actuales. Sin embargo, la inferencia de estados ecol&oacute;gicos pasados est&aacute; limitada a la disponibilidad de datos s&oacute;lidos y a los sesgos de los archivos hist&oacute;ricos, lo que plantea un reto para la conservaci&oacute;n y los responsables de las pol&iacute;ticas. Analizamos la distribuci&oacute;n del cachalote (Physeter macrocephalus) en el Oc&eacute;ano &Iacute;ndico occidental para resaltar c&oacute;mo pueden utilizarse los registros hist&oacute;ricos para comprender los requisitos ecol&oacute;gicos de las especies amenazadas y direccionar su conservaci&oacute;n. Evaluamos las diferencias en el contenido de la informaci&oacute;n y las predicciones de idoneidad del h&aacute;bitat basadas en los datos de presencia de ballenas de los registros balleneros Yanquis (1792-1912) y de los estudios actuales sobre cet&aacute;ceos (1995-2020). Construimos modelos de idoneidad de h&aacute;bitat con m&aacute;xima entrop&iacute;a que inclu&iacute;an variables est&aacute;ticas (derivadas de la batimetr&iacute;a) para comparar los modelos que abarcan datos hist&oacute;ricos y actuales. Evaluamos la ubicaci&oacute;n de las &aacute;reas marinas protegidas (AMP) contrastando las predicciones dentro y fuera de ellas con los modelos hist&oacute;ricos y actuales de la idoneidad del h&aacute;bitat. El modelo hist&oacute;rico predijo una alta idoneidad del h&aacute;bitat en las regiones costeras y de la plataforma continental cercanas a los continentes e islas, mientras que el modelo moderno predijo una distribuci&oacute;n menos costera con una alta idoneidad del h&aacute;bitat m&aacute;s restringida a las zonas de topograf&iacute;a escarpada. La proporci&oacute;n de h&aacute;bitats de alta idoneidad dentro y fuera de las AMP fue mayor con la aplicaci&oacute;n de las predicciones hist&oacute;ricas que con la de las modernas, lo que sugiere que se pueden alcanzar diferentes niveles &oacute;ptimos de ordenaci&oacute;n del espacio marino a partir de ambas fuentes de datos. Adem&aacute;s, las diferencias entre los periodos en las predicciones relacionadas con la idoneidad del h&aacute;bitat fueron coherentes con la reducci&oacute;n hist&oacute;rica de los cachalotes en las regiones costeras, las cuales eran f&aacute;cilmente accesibles para los balleneros, lo que result&oacute; en una distribuci&oacute;n actual m&aacute;s limitada a los m&aacute;rgenes continentales escarpados y a las crestas oce&aacute;nicas remotas. El uso de datos hist&oacute;ricos puede aportar nuevos e importantes conocimientos e informar, mediante una interpretaci&oacute;n prudente, a la planificaci&oacute;n y la pol&iacute;tica de conservaci&oacute;n; por ejemplo, con la identificaci&oacute;n de especies refugiadas y regiones de recuperaci&oacute;n poblacional.</p>
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File Pages Size Access
Publisher's official version 15 2 MB Open access
APPENDIX S1 Bathymetric and geomorphic variables used for sperm whale distribution modelling. 13 KB Open access
APPENDIX S2. Environmental variables used for Maxent habitat suitability modelling. Abbreviation and units—depth: seabed depth (m), slope: seabed slope (%), di_1000m: distance to 1000 meter... 121 KB Open access
APPENDIX S3 Data sources and references used to obtain modern sperm whale occurrence records and survey effort. 15 KB Open access
APPENDIX S4. Sperm whale records from historical whaling logs (green, Smith et al. 2012), modern scientific surveys (see Appendix S3 for sources), and observations from commercial purse seine ... 160 KB Open access
APPENDIX S5. Sensitivity analysis showing historical and modern habitat suitability model coefficients and variability of prediction repetitions (error bars) around the historical model coefficient... 250 KB Open access
APPENDIX S6. Sensitivity analysis showing the mean (top panel) and variability (bottom panel, SD) of prediction repetitions. 87 KB Open access
APPENDIX S7. Residuals from linear regression between historical and modern predictions, where positive residuals reflect higher relative historical predictions, showing extrapolation zones for both.. 52 KB Open access
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How to cite 

Letessier Tom B., Mannocci Laura, Goodwin Brittney, Embling Clare, de Vos Asha, Anderson R. Charles, Ingram Simon N., Rogan Andy, Turvey Samuel T. (2023). Contrasting ecological information content in whaling archives with modern cetacean surveys for conservation planning and identification of historical distribution changes. Conservation Biology, 37(3), e14043 (15p.). Publisher's official version : https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14043 , Open Access version : https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00820/93200/