Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere - the "global carbon budget" - is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and methodology to quantify all major components of the global carbon budget, including their uncertainties, based on the combination of a range of data, algorithms, statistics, and model estimates and their interpretation by a broad scientific community. We discuss changes compared to previous estimates and consistency within and among components, alongside methodology and data limitations. CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and industry (E-FF) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, respectively, while emissions from land-use change (E-LUC), mainly deforestation, are based on combined evidence from land-cover change data, fire activity associated with deforestation, and models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (G(ATM)) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The mean ocean CO2 sink (S-OCEAN) is based on observations from the 1990s, while the annual anomalies and trends are estimated with ocean models. The variability in S-OCEAN is evaluated with data products based on surveys of ocean CO2 measurements. The global residual terrestrial CO2 sink (S-LAND) is estimated by the difference of the other terms of the global carbon budget and compared to results of independent dynamic global vegetation models. We compare the mean land and ocean fluxes and their variability to estimates from three atmospheric inverse methods for three broad latitude bands. All uncertainties are reported as +/- 1 sigma, reflecting the current capacity to characterise the annual estimates of each component of the global carbon budget. For the last decade available (2006-2015), E-FF was 9.3 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), E-LUC 1.0 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), G(ATM) 4.5 +/- 0.1 GtC yr(-1), S-OCEAN 2.6 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), and S-LAND 3.1 +/- 0.9 GtC yr(-1). For year 2015 alone, the growth in E-FF was approximately zero and emissions remained at 9.9 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), showing a slowdown in growth of these emissions compared to the average growth of 1.8% yr(-1) that took place during 2006-2015. Also, for 2015, E-LUC was 1.3 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), G(ATM) was 6.3 +/- 0.2 GtC yr(-1), S-OCEAN was 3.0 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), and S-LAND was 1.9 +/- 0.9 GtC yr(-1). G(ATM) was higher in 2015 compared to the past decade (2006-2015), reflecting a smaller S-LAND for that year. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 399.4 +/- 0.1 ppm averaged over 2015. For 2016, preliminary data indicate the continuation of low growth in E-FF with +0.2% (range of -1.0 to +1.8 %) based on national emissions projections for China and USA, and projections of gross domestic product corrected for recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy for the rest of the world. In spite of the low growth of E-FF in 2016, the growth rate in atmospheric CO2 concentration is expected to be relatively high because of the persistence of the smaller residual terrestrial sink (S-LAND) in response to El Nino conditions of 2015-2016. From this projection of E-FF and assumed constant E-LUC for 2016, cumulative emissions of CO2 will reach 565 +/- 55 GtC (2075 +/- 205 GtCO(2)) for 1870-2016, about 75% from E-FF and 25% from E-LUC. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new carbon budget compared with previous publications of this data set (Le Quere et al., 2015b, a, 2014, 2013). All observations presented here can be downloaded from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (doi: 10.3334/CDIAC/GCP_2016).
Le Quere Corinne, Andrew Robbie M., Canadell Josep G., Sitch Stephen, Korsbakken Jan Ivar, Peters Glen P., Manning Andrew C., Boden Thomas A., Tans Pieter P., Houghton Richard A., Keeling Ralph F., Alin Simone, Andrews Oliver D., Anthoni Peter, Barbero Leticia, Bopp Laurent, Chevallier Frederic, Chini Louise P., Ciais Philippe, Currie Kim, Delire Christine, Doney Scott C., Friedlingstein Pierre, Gkritzalis Thanos, Harris Ian, Hauck Judith, Haverd Vanessa, Hoppema Mario, Goldewijk Kees Klein, Jain Atul K., Kato Etsushi, Koertzinger Arne, Landschuetzer Peter, Lefevre Nathalie, Lenton Andrew, Lienert Sebastian, Lombardozzi Danica, Melton Joe R., Metzl Nicolas, Millero Frank, Monteiro Pedro M. S., Munro David R., Nabel Julia E. M. S., Nakaoka Shin-ichiro, O'brien Kevin, Olsen Are, Omar Abdirahman M., Ono Tsuneo, Pierrot Denis, Poulter Benjamin, Roedenbeck Christian, Salisbury Joe, Schuster Ute, Schwinger Joerg, Seferian Roland, Skjelvan Ingunn, Stocker Benjamin D., Sutton Adrienne J., Takahashi Taro, Tian Hanqin, Tilbrook Bronte, van der Laan-luijkx Ingrid T., van der Werf Guido R., Viovy Nicolas, Walker Anthony P., Wiltshire Andrew J., Zaehle Soenke (2016). Global Carbon Budget 2016. Earth System Science Data. 8 (2). 605-649. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-8-605-2016, https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00383/49401/
Le Quere Corinne, Andrew Robbie M., Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen, Pongratz Julia, Manning Andrew C., Korsbakken Jan Ivar, Peters Glen P., Canadell Josep G., Jackson Robert B., Boden Thomas A., Tans Pieter P., Andrews Oliver D., Arora Vivek K., Bakker Dorothee C. E., Barbero Leticia, Becker Meike, Betts Richard A., Bopp Laurent, Chevallier Frederic, Chini Louise P., Ciais Philippe, Cosca Catherine E., Cross Jessica, Currie Kim, Gasser Thomas, Harris Ian, Hauck Judith, Haverd Vanessa, Houghton Richard A., Hunt Christopher W., Hurtt George, Ilyina Tatiana, Jain Atul K., Kato Etsushi, Kautz Markus, Keeling Ralph F., Goldewijk Kees Klein, Koertzinger Arne, Landschuetzer Peter, Lefevre Nathalie, Lenton Andrew, Lienert Sebastian, Lima Ivan, Lombardozzi Danica, Metzl Nicolas, Millero Frank, Monteiro Pedro M. S., Munro David R., Nabel Julia E. M. S., Nakaoka Shin-ichiro, Nojiri Yukihiro, Padin X. Antonio, Peregon Anna, Pfeil Benjamin, Pierrot Denis, Poulter Benjamin, Rehder Gregor, Reimer Janet, Roedenbeck Christian, Schwinger Jorg, Seferian Roland, Skjelvan Ingunn, Stocker Benjamin D., Tian Hanqin, Tilbrook Bronte, Tubiello Francesco N., van der Laan-luijkx Ingrid T., van der Werf Guido R., Van Heuven Steven, Viovy Nicolas, Vuichard Nicolas, Walker Anthony P., Watson Andrew J., Wiltshire Andrew J., Zaehle Soenke, Zhu Dan (2018). Global Carbon Budget 2017. Earth System Science Data. 10 (1). 405-448. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-405-2018, https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00433/54428/
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Le Quere C., Moriarty R., Andrew R. M., Canadell J. G., Sitch S., Korsbakken J. I., Friedlingstein P., Peters G. P., Andres R. J., Boden T. A., Houghton R. A., House J. I., Keeling R. F., Tans P., Arneth A., Bakker D. C. E., Barbero L., Bopp L., Chang J., Chevallier F., Chini L. P., Ciais P., Fader M., Feely R. A., Gkritzalis T., Harris I., Hauck J., Ilyina T., Jain A. K., Kato E., Kitidis V., Goldewijk K. Klein, Koven C., Landschuetzer P., Lauvset S. K., Lefevre N., Lenton A., Lima I. D., Metzl N., Millero F., Munro D. R., Murata A., Nabel J. E. M. S., Nakaoka S., Nojiri Y., O'brien K., Olsen A., Ono T., Perez Florian, Pfeil B., Pierrot D., Poulter B., Rehder G., Roedenbeck C., Saito S., Schuster U., Schwinger J., Seferian R., Steinhoff T., Stocker B. D., Sutton A. J., Takahashi T., Tilbrook B., van der Laan-luijkx I. T., van der Werf G. R., Van Heuven S., Vandemark D., Viovy N., Wiltshire A., Zaehle S., Zeng N. (2015). Global Carbon Budget 2015. Earth System Science Data. 7 (2). 349-396. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-7-349-2015, https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00383/49442/
Le Quéré C., Moriarty R., Andrew R. M., Canadell J. G., Sitch S., Korsbakken J. I., Friedlingstein P., Peters G. P., Andres R. J., Boden T. A., Houghton R. A., House J. I., Keeling R. F., Tans P., Arneth A., Bakker D. C. E., Barbero L., Bopp L., Chang J., Chevallier F., Chini L. P., Ciais P., Fader M., Feely R. A., Gkritzalis T., Harris I., Hauck J., Ilyina T., Jain A. K., Kato E., Kitidis V., Klein Goldewijk K., Koven C., Landschützer P., Lauvset S. K., Lefèvre N., Lenton A., Lima I. D., Metzl N., Millero F., Munro D. R., Murata A., Nabel J. E. M. S., Nakaoka S., Nojiri Y., O'Brien K., Olsen A., Ono T., Pérez F. F., Pfeil B., Pierrot D., Poulter B., Rehder G., Rödenbeck C., Saito S., Schuster U., Schwinger J., Séférian R., Steinhoff T., Stocker B. D., Sutton A. J., Takahashi T., Tilbrook B., van der Laan-Luijkx I. T., van der Werf G. R., van Heuven S., Vandemark D., Viovy N., Wiltshire A., Zaehle S., Zeng N. (2015). Global Carbon Budget 2015. Earth System Science Data, 7 (2), 349-396. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-7-349-2015
Le Quere C., Peters G. P., Andres R. J., Andrew R. M., Boden T. A., Ciais P., Friedlingstein P., Houghton R. A., Marland G., Moriarty R., Sitch S., Tans P., Arneth A., Arvanitis A., Bakker D. C. E., Bopp L., Canadell J. G., Chini L. P., Doney S. C., Harper A., Harris I., House J. I., Jain A. K., Jones S. D., Kato E., Keeling R. F., Klein Goldewijk K., Koertzinger A., Koven C., Lefevre N., Maignan F., Omar A., Ono T., Park G. H., Pfeil B., Poulter B., Raupach M. R., Regnier P., Roedenbeck C., Saito S., Schwinger J., Segschneider J., Stocker B. D., Takahashi T., Tilbrook B., Van Heuven S., Viovy N., Wanninkhof R., Wiltshire A., Zaehle S. (2014). Global carbon budget 2013. Earth System Science Data. 6 (1). 235-263. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-6-235-2014, https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00291/40261/